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Avicopter (SHSE:600038) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Avicopter (SHSE:600038) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

中航直升機(SHSE:600038)似乎相當明智地利用債務。
Simply Wall St ·  06/17 21:30

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Avicopter Plc (SHSE:600038) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希爾·哈撒韋旗下的外部基金經理李錄(Li Lu)曾明確表示:“最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會蒙受資本永久損失。”因此,明智的錢知道,公司的債務——通常在破產中出現——是評估其風險度時非常重要的因素。我們注意到,中直股份(SHSE: 600038)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有在公司無法輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過增加資本還是通過自身的現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償付債權人,它可能會破產。然而,一種更常見的(但仍然昂貴的)情況是,公司必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東,以便控制債務。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它替代具有以高回報率再投資能力的公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看它的現金和債務合起來。

What Is Avicopter's Net Debt?

中直股份的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Avicopter had debt of CN¥2.08b, up from CN¥1.38b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.11b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.03b net cash.

下圖,您可以點擊以獲取更多細節,顯示2024年3月中直股份的債務爲20.8億人民幣,比一年前的13.8億人民幣增加了近7億人民幣。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有41.1億人民幣的現金,因此其實有20.3億人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600038 Debt to Equity History June 18th 2024
SHSE: 600038負債股本比歷史記錄(2024年6月18日)

A Look At Avicopter's Liabilities

查看中直股份的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Avicopter had liabilities of CN¥26.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.58b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.11b and CN¥9.90b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥15.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,中直股份有262億人民幣的負債應在12個月內到期,358億人民幣的負債應在12個月後到期。另一方面,它擁有411億人民幣的現金和990億人民幣的短期應收款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多158億人民幣。

Avicopter has a market capitalization of CN¥29.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Avicopter boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

中直股份的市值爲299億人民幣,因此,如果需要,它很可能籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們應該仔細研究它是否能夠在不稀釋股權的情況下管理其債務。儘管其負債顯著,中直股份擁有淨現金,因此可以說它負債不重!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Avicopter has boosted its EBIT by 95%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Avicopter can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

此外,我們很高興報告,中直股份的EBIt增長了95%,從而減少了未來債務償還的風險。分析負債水平時,資產負債表是開始的顯而易見的地方。但是,最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定中直股份能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的想法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師收益預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Avicopter has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Avicopter burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。儘管中直股份的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得關注它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它的現金餘額是如何增加(或減少)的。在過去的三年中,中直股份燒掉了大量的現金。雖然投資者無疑希望這種情況早日逆轉,但這顯然意味着它使用債務的風險更大。

Summing Up

總之

While Avicopter does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥2.03b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 95% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Avicopter's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Avicopter , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管中直股份的負債超過了流動資產,但它也擁有淨現金203億人民幣。並且,它在過去一年中以95%的EBIt增長表現出色。因此,我們對中直股份使用債務沒有任何問題。在分析負債級別時,資產負債表是開始的顯而易見的地方。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。我們已經確定了一個與中直股份有關的警告信號,並且了解它們應該成爲你的投資過程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

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