Is Techtronic Industries (HKG:669) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Techtronic Industries (HKG:669) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Techtronic Industries Company Limited (HKG:669) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李璐(得到查理·芒格支持)曾說,“最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是是否會遭受永久性資本損失。” 當您考察一家公司的風險時,考慮到債務常常在業務崩潰時涉及,因此考慮一家公司的資產負債表只是很自然的事情。像許多其他公司一樣,科技電工有限公司 (HKG: 669)也利用債務。但這種債務是否令股東擔憂呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
通常情況下,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆還清它,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自身的現金流,才會成爲一個真正的問題。最終,如果公司不能履行還債的法律義務,股東可能什麼也得不到。然而,一個更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,它必須以低價募集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東的權益。當然,在企業中債務可能是一個重要的工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業來說。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先看現金和債務的總和。
How Much Debt Does Techtronic Industries Carry?
科技電工有限公司的債務有多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Techtronic Industries had debt of US$1.95b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from US$3.15b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$1.17b in cash leading to net debt of about US$781.8m.
下面的圖片(可單擊以了解更多詳情)顯示,截至2023年12月底,科技電工的債務爲19.5億美元,相比一年前的31.5億美元有所減少。另一方面,它有11.7億美元的現金,因此淨債務約爲7.818億美元。
A Look At Techtronic Industries' Liabilities
科技電工的負債情況
The latest balance sheet data shows that Techtronic Industries had liabilities of US$4.78b due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.87b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.17b as well as receivables valued at US$1.83b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.65b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,科技電工有限公司的短期債務總額爲47.8億美元,長期債務總額爲18.7億美元。與之相對的,它有11.7億美元的現金以及在12個月內到期的17.3億美元的應收款項。所以它的負債超過現金和(短期)應收款項的總和約爲36.5億美元。
Of course, Techtronic Industries has a titanic market capitalization of US$22.5b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
當然,科技電工有限公司的市值巨大,爲225億美元,因此這些負債可能是可管理的。話雖如此,顯然我們應該繼續監測其資產負債表,以免情況變得更糟。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。
Techtronic Industries's net debt is only 0.56 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the other side of the story is that Techtronic Industries saw its EBIT decline by 5.9% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Techtronic Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
科技電工有限公司的淨債務僅爲其EBITDA的0.56倍,而其EBIT利息費用覆蓋率高達14.1倍。因此,您可以認爲它受到債務威脅的程度不比大象受到老鼠威脅大。但另一方面,科技電工有限公司的EBIT在過去一年中下降了5.9%。如果收入繼續以這個速度下降,公司可能越來越難以管理其債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解債務的信息最多。但是,決定科技電工有限公司是否能夠在未來保持健康的資產負債表的能力,最重要的是未來的收益。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,其中包含分析師的利潤預測。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Techtronic Industries created free cash flow amounting to 9.2% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
但是我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙上利潤來償還債務,它需要冷硬的現金。因此,我們總是檢查EBIT中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,科技電工創造了等於其EBIT的9.2%的自由現金流,這是一個令人失望的表現。對我們而言,這樣的現金轉換率引發了一些對他其償還債務能力的擔憂。
Our View
我們的觀點
On our analysis Techtronic Industries's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to convert EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Techtronic Industries's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Techtronic Industries insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.
根據我們的分析,科技電工有限公司的利息覆蓋率應該表明其不會在償還債務方面遇到太多困難。但上面提到的其他因素並不那麼令人鼓舞,例如,它似乎必須費力才能將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們確實對科技電工有限公司的債務使用持謹慎態度。雖然我們欣賞債務能夠提高股權回報率,但如果負債增加,我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平。如果我們發現科技電工有限公司內部人士最近購買了股票,我們將被激勵繼續研究該股。如果您也有同樣的想法,那麼你會很幸運,因爲今天我們將免費分享我們列出的報告內部交易清單。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
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