The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd's (SHSE:600252 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.1% in Past Week
The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd's (SHSE:600252 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.1% in Past Week
For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600252) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 24% over a half decade. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 9.3% in a month. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 5.0% in the same time period.
對許多人來說,投資的主要目的是比整體市場產生更高的回報。但即使是最好的股票選手,也只能靠選擇獲勝。因此,我們不會責怪長揸 OGE Energy Corp. (紐交所:oge energy) 股票的股東對其決定產生懷疑,因爲股票在半個十年中下跌了 15%。一些股票的選擇是必須的。 因爲選擇過多,所以我們不會責怪長揸廣西中恒集團股份有限公司( SHSE:600252)的股東對他們的決定產生懷疑,因爲股票在半個十年中下跌了24%。最近,股價在一個月內還下跌了9.3%。但是,我們注意到價格可能會受到整個市場的影響,該市場在同一時間段內下跌了5.0%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市場有時毫無疑問是有效的,但股票價格並不總是反映基本業務表現。一種有缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格,以評估圍繞公司的情緒如何變化。
Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
廣西中恒集團有限公司在過去五年內實現了盈利。大多數人會認爲這是一件好事,因此看到股價下跌似乎是違反直覺的。其他指標可能更好地解釋股價變動。
We don't think that the 0.4% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. It could be that the revenue decline of 6.8% per year is viewed as evidence that Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd is shrinking. That could explain the weak share price.
我們認爲0.4%對股價影響不大,因爲這相當小,就紅利而言。由於每年的收入下降6.8%被視爲廣西中恒集團有限公司萎縮的證據,因此這可能是股價疲軟的原因。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):
If you are thinking of buying or selling Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果你想購買或出售廣西中恒集團有限公司的股票,你應該查看這份關於其資產負債表的免費詳細報告。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was -19%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報率以及股價回報率是很重要的。股價回報率僅反映股價變動,TSR包括股息的價值(假設已再投資)和任何折扣資本籌集或分拆的好處。可以說,TSR給出了一張更全面的股票收益圖片。恰好相差19%,廣西中恒集團有限公司過去5年的TSR超過了前面提到的股價回報。因此,公司支付的股息增加了 總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Although it hurts that Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd returned a loss of 7.9% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 14%. Given the total loss of 4% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管廣西中恒集團有限公司在過去的十二個月中虧損了7.9%,但更廣泛的市場實際上更糟糕,虧損了14%。考慮到在過去的五年中年均虧損率爲4%,似乎在過去的十二個月中,回報已經惡化。雖然一些投資者專門從事購買陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司,但不要忘記巴菲特說的“轉機很少會轉身”。我發現長期股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但是,爲了獲得真正的洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。請考慮存在的投資風險。我們已經確定了廣西中恒集團有限公司的2個警告信號(至少1個不應被忽略),了解它們應該成爲你的投資過程的一部分。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com