Focus Technology (SZSE:002315) Sheds 5.5% This Week, as Yearly Returns Fall More in Line With Earnings Growth
Focus Technology (SZSE:002315) Sheds 5.5% This Week, as Yearly Returns Fall More in Line With Earnings Growth
It hasn't been the best quarter for Focus Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002315) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 26% in that time. But that doesn't change the fact that shareholders have received really good returns over the last five years. We think most investors would be happy with the 107% return, over that period. To some, the recent pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a fast rise. The more important question is whether the stock is too cheap or too expensive today. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 40% decline over the last twelve months.
焦點科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002315)的股東們過去一個季度表現不太好,股價在那段時間內下跌了26%。但這並不改變股東在過去五年中獲得非常不錯的回報的事實。我們認爲,在這段時期內獲得了107%的回報,大多數投資者會很高興。對於一些人來說,由於這樣的快速上漲,最近的回調並不令人驚訝。更重要的問題是,這隻股票今天是否太便宜或太昂貴了。不幸的是,並非所有股東都會長揸它,所以請爲在過去十二個月中跌幅高達40%的股東們想想。
Although Focus Technology has shed CN¥507m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
儘管焦點科技本週市值減少了5.07億元人民幣,但讓我們看一下其更長期的基本趨勢並確定它們是否推動了回報。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
爲了概述本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的話:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但長期來看,它是一臺衡重機。思考一家公司的市場感知如何轉變的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)變化與股價變動進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Focus Technology achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 28% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 16% over the same period. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.
在股價增長的五年中,焦點科技實現了每股收益(EPS)的複合增長率爲28%。EPS的增長比同期的每年股價增長16%更爲引人注目。因此,市場似乎對該公司相對悲觀。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間的變化情況(如果您單擊該圖像,則可以查看更多詳細信息)。
We know that Focus Technology has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
我們知道焦點科技近期已經改善了其底線,但它是否將增長營業收入呢?此免費報告顯示分析師營業收入預測,應該能幫助您確定EPS增長是否可以持續。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Focus Technology, it has a TSR of 148% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮到任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股票價格回報都是很重要的。雖然股票價格回報僅反映了股票價格的變化,但TSR包括股息價值(假設它們已被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌資或旋轉分拆的利益。可以說,TSR提供了更全面的股票收益圖。就焦點科技而言,過去5年的TSR爲148%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票價格回報。這主要是其分紅支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, Focus Technology shareholders did even worse, losing 38% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 20%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Focus Technology that you should be aware of.
儘管整個市場在過去12個月中損失約13%,但是焦點科技股東的表現更差,包括分紅派息共損失了38%。但話說回來,在下跌市場中會有一些被過度拋售的股票是不可避免的。關鍵是要關注基本面的發展。 長期投資者不會如此沮喪,因爲在過去的5年中,他們每年的回報率爲20%。如果基本數據繼續表明具有長期可持續增長潛力,當前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。 雖然考慮市場狀況對股價的影響是具有非常重要的意義,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,我們已經確定了焦點科技的1個警示信號,您應該注意。
But note: Focus Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:焦點科技可能不是最好的股票購買。因此,請查看此免費的有過去收益增長(以及更多收益預測)的有趣公司列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com