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We're Not Very Worried About Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)'s (SHSE:688512) Cash Burn Rate

We're Not Very Worried About Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)'s (SHSE:688512) Cash Burn Rate

我們對Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) (SHSE:688512)的現金燃燒速度不是很擔心。
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 18:57

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

毫無疑問,持有虧損企業的股份是可以賺錢的。例如,生物科技和採礦勘探公司往往在尋找新的治療方法或礦物發現之前多年虧損。儘管如此,在虧損的企業過快地消耗現金的風險下,任何理智的人都不會忽視。

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) (SHSE:688512) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

考慮到這種風險,我們會檢查Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) (SHSE:688512)在現金流方面是否存在問題。在該報告中,我們將考慮公司每年的負自由現金流,簡稱爲“現金流失”。首先,我們將比較現金流失和現金儲備,以計算現金的可用時間。

Does Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) Have A Long Cash Runway?

Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)的現金可用時間是否很長?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at March 2024, Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) had cash of CN¥445m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥333m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 16 months from March 2024. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

現金可用時間是指公司按當前現金流失速度持續支出所需的時間長度。截至2024年3月,Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)擁有44500萬人民幣現金和無債務。在過去一年中,公司的現金流失了33300萬人民幣。所以從2024年3月計算,該公司將可用現金約爲16個月。這不算太差,但毫無疑問,除非現金流失大大減少,否則現金可用時間的盡頭已經在望。在下面的圖表中,您可以看到其現金持有情況的變化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688512 Debt to Equity History June 21st 2024
SHSE: 688512近期的股權負債率變化。

How Well Is Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) Growing?

Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)的業務增長表現如何?

On balance, we think it's mildly positive that Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) trimmed its cash burn by 9.8% over the last twelve months. And considering that its operating revenue gained 44% during that period, that's great to see. It seems to be growing nicely. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

總的來說,我們認爲Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)在過去十二個月中將其現金流失減少了9.8%,這是一個溫和的積極信號。考慮到其運營收入在該期間增長了44%,這非常好。它似乎正在良好發展。然而,關鍵因素顯然是公司將來的業務增長。因此,您可能需要查看公司未來幾年預計增長了多少。

How Easily Can Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) Raise Cash?

Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)可以輕鬆籌集資金嗎?

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) 在燒錢方面似乎處於相當好的位置,但我們仍然認爲值得考慮的是,如果公司想要籌集更多資金,它可以非常容易地如何做到。 發行新股份或負債是上市公司籌集更多資金的最常見方法。一般情況下,企業會出售自己的新股份來籌集現金並推動增長。通過比較公司年度現金流出量與其總市值,我們可以大致估計其需要發行多少股份才能以同樣的速度繼續運營公司一年。

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) has a market capitalisation of CN¥4.7b and burnt through CN¥333m last year, which is 7.1% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) 的市值爲47億人民幣,去年流出33,300萬人民幣,僅佔該公司市值的7.1%。這是一個較低的比例,因此我們認爲該公司將能夠輕鬆融資以支持其增長,即使需要進行少量稀釋,或者甚至只是借一些錢。

Is Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)'s Cash Burn A Worry?

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)的現金流失是否值得擔憂?

The good news is that in our view Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)'s cash burn situation gives shareholders real reason for optimism. One the one hand we have its solid cash burn relative to its market cap, while on the other it can also boast very strong revenue growth. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 3 warning signs for Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) that you should be aware of before investing.

好消息是,在我們看來,Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)的資金燒耗情況爲股東提供了真正的樂觀理由。一方面,相對於市值,它具有堅實的現金燒耗能力,另一方面,它還可以自誇極強的營收增長。考慮到本文所討論的所有因素,我們不會過分關注公司的資金燒耗情況,儘管我們認爲股東應該密切關注其發展。從風險的深入分析中,我們已經確定了 Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)在投資之前應該注意的3個警示信號。

Of course Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

當然,Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)可能不是最好的股票買入選擇。因此,您可能想查看這些具有高淨資產收益率的公司的免費收藏品,或查看擁有高內部所有權的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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