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COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002423) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002423) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

中糧資本有限公司(SZSE:002423)的股票最近表現疲軟,但財務前景看起來不錯:市場錯了?
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 19:07

It is hard to get excited after looking at COFCO Capital Holdings' (SZSE:002423) recent performance, when its stock has declined 6.2% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on COFCO Capital Holdings' ROE.

最近一個月中糧資本控股股東(SZSE:002423)的表現不盡如人意,股價下跌了6.2%。然而,股價通常受到公司長期財務狀況的影響,在這種情況下,公司的財務狀況相當不錯。本文將重點關注中糧資本控股的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE或股東權益報酬率是一種有用的工具,用於評估一家公司能否有效地利用來自股東的投資產生回報。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資變成利潤的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for COFCO Capital Holdings is:

因此,根據上述公式,中糧資本控股的roe爲:

7.7% = CN¥2.1b ÷ CN¥28b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.7%= CN ¥2.1b ÷ CN ¥28b(基於截至2024年3月的最近十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回報”是業務在過去一年中獲得的收入。其中一種概念化的方法是,對於每CN ¥1的股東資本,公司獲利CN ¥0.08。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我們已經確定ROE是一種有效的利潤生成標準,用於評估公司未來的盈利能力,我們現在需要評估公司“保留”爲未來增長而重新投資的利潤多少,這使我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個了解。一般而言,在其他條件相等的情況下,ROE和利潤留存高的公司,增長率比沒有這些屬性的公司要高。

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe衡量公司利潤產生的效率。根據公司選擇再投資或“保留”的利潤比例,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。其他條件相同的情況下,roe和利潤保留率均較高的公司通常比沒有這些特徵的公司成長速度更快。

A Side By Side comparison of COFCO Capital Holdings' Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

中糧資本控股盈利增長和7.7%roe的並排比較

When you first look at it, COFCO Capital Holdings' ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.5%, we may spare it some thought. On the other hand, COFCO Capital Holdings reported a moderate 14% net income growth over the past five years. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

剛看起來,中糧資本控股的roe看起來不太吸引人。然而,考慮到公司的roe與7.5%的行業平均roe相似,我們也可以對其進行思考。另一方面,中糧資本控股過去5年報告了14%的淨收入增長。考慮到roe相對較低,公司盈利增長可能有一些其他積極因素。例如,公司的股息支付比例較低,或者正在有效地管理。

We then performed a comparison between COFCO Capital Holdings' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 14% in the same 5-year period.

我們隨後對比了中糧資本控股與同一5年時期行業的淨收入增長,發現公司的增長與同行業平均增長14%相似。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002423 Past Earnings Growth June 21st 2024
SZSE:002423過去的盈利增長(2024年6月21日)

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about COFCO Capital Holdings''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

給公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。投資者需要確定的是,預期的盈利增長或缺乏盈利增長是否已經反映在股價中。這樣做將有助於他們確定股票的未來前景是光明還是暗淡。如果你想知道中糧資本控股的估值,請查看與行業相比的市盈率的這一衡量標準。

Is COFCO Capital Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中糧資本控股是否有效地重新投資其利潤?

In COFCO Capital Holdings' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 24% (or a retention ratio of 76%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

在中糧資本控股的案例中,其值得尊重的盈利增長可能可以解釋爲其低三年經調整的中位股利支付比率爲24%(或保留比率爲76%),這表明公司正在投資大部分利潤以發展業務。

Besides, COFCO Capital Holdings has been paying dividends over a period of four years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

此外,中糧資本控股已經連續四年支付股息。這表明公司致力於與股東分享利潤。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that COFCO Capital Holdings certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for COFCO Capital Holdings.

總的來說,我們認爲中糧資本控股確實有一些需要考慮的積極因素。儘管roe較低,但在高再投資率的情況下,公司成功地實現了盈利的顯著增長。雖然我們不會完全忽略該公司,但我們會嘗試確定該業務的風險,以作出更明智的決策。我們的風險控制面板將有我們爲中糧資本控股確定的一個風險。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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