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Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600273) Sheds CN¥426m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600273) Sheds CN¥426m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司(SHSE:600273)脫落了4.26億人民幣,公司盈利和投資回報在過去五年裏一直在下降。
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 19:57

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600273) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 40% over a half decade. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 14% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 5.9% in the same timeframe.

爲了證明選擇個股收益的努力是值得的,需要追求高於市場指數基金的回報。但即使是最好的股票選擇者,也僅僅在個別選擇上獲勝。一些股票的選擇是必須的。選擇不多。因此,長揸浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司(SHSE:600273)的股東對他們的持有決定產生懷疑,因爲股票在過去五年中下降了40%。近期跌幅加劇,股價在過去三個月中下跌了14%。但是可以說,股價受到了整體市場的影響,該市場在同一時間段內下降了5.9%。

With the stock having lost 4.3% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

股價在過去一週中下跌了4.3%,值得一看公司業績是否有任何紅燈。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管一些人繼續教授有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,並且投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價的變化情況,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間變化而變化。

Looking back five years, both Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical IndustryLtd's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 1.4% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 10% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The low P/E ratio of 9.50 further reflects this reticence.

回顧五年,浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司的股價和每股收益率都下降了,每股收益率下降了1.4%。但股價的每年下跌率高達10%,所以看起來市場過去對公司過於自信。P/E比率爲9.50進一步反映了這種保留態度。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600273 Earnings Per Share Growth June 21st 2024
SHSE:600273每股收益增長2024年6月21日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical IndustryLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們免費報告的浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司的收益,營業收入和現金流量再次值得考慮。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical IndustryLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -23%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報率(TSR)。股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣的融資或剝離的收益。對於支付豐厚股息的公司而言,TSR通常比股價回報率高得多。我們注意到,對於浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司,過去5年的TSR爲-23%,比上述股價回報率要好。毫無疑問,分紅支付在很大程度上可以解釋這種差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We regret to report that Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical IndustryLtd shareholders are down 17% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical IndustryLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical IndustryLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我們很遺憾地報告,浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司的股東今年的股票收益下降了17%(包括紅利在內)。不幸的是,這比整個市場下跌14%更糟糕。儘管如此,在下跌的市場中必然會有一些超賣的股票。關鍵是保持對基本面的關注。遺憾的是,去年的表現是這波糟糕趨勢的頂點,股東在過去五年中每年面臨着總虧損率4%。我們意識到巴倫·羅斯柴爾德曾說過投資者應該“在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告投資者首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有趣的。但是,要更好地了解浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,不斷出現的投資風險。我們已經確定了1個關於浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司的警告信號,了解它們應該是您的投資流程的一部分。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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