Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300475) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 49.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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How Is Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 186% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 22% per year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 25% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shannon Semiconductor TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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