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Be Wary Of Jiangsu Guomao Reducer (SHSE:603915) And Its Returns On Capital

Be Wary Of Jiangsu Guomao Reducer (SHSE:603915) And Its Returns On Capital

警惕國茂股份(SHSE:603915)及其資本回報率
Simply Wall St ·  06/23 20:31

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Jiangsu Guomao Reducer (SHSE:603915) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.099 = CN¥369m ÷ (CN¥4.9b - CN¥1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Jiangsu Guomao Reducer has an ROCE of 9.9%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 5.6% generated by the Machinery industry, it's much better.

roce
SHSE:603915 Return on Capital Employed June 24th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer .

How Are Returns Trending?

In terms of Jiangsu Guomao Reducer's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 15%, but since then they've fallen to 9.9%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

On a related note, Jiangsu Guomao Reducer has decreased its current liabilities to 24% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Guomao Reducer's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Jiangsu Guomao Reducer's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 28% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Guomao Reducer that we think you should be aware of.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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