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Investing in China Satellite Communications (SHSE:601698) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 271% Gain

Investing in China Satellite Communications (SHSE:601698) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 271% Gain

五年前投資中國衛通(SHSE:601698)將爲您帶來271%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  06/23 23:04

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For instance, the price of China Satellite Communications Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601698) stock is up an impressive 268% over the last five years. The last week saw the share price soften some 2.5%.

一家公司的股票購買後(不做槓桿),最糟糕的結果就是損失所有投入的資金。但好消息是,一家優秀的公司的股價有可能會上漲超過100%。例如,中國衛通股份有限公司(SHSE:601698)股票的價格在過去五年中令人印象深刻地上漲了268%。然而,上一週股價下跌了2.5%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在值得更詳細地了解該公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者情緒,不僅僅是基本業績。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司周圍情緒如何變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, China Satellite Communications actually saw its EPS drop 8.8% per year.

在股價增長的五年中,中國衛通的每股收益實際下降了8.8%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

這意味着市場不太可能是根據盈利增長來評判公司的。因爲每股收益似乎與股價不匹配,我們將轉而關注其他指標。

The modest 0.2% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. The revenue reduction of 0.5% per year is not a positive. So it seems one might have to take closer look at earnings and revenue trends to see how they might influence the share price.

溫和的0.2%股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。每年0.5%的收入減少並不是一個積極的信號。因此,似乎必須更加密切地關注收益和收入趨勢,以了解它們對股價可能產生的影響。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

你可以在下面的圖片中看到收入和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(單擊圖表可查看精確值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601698 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 24th 2024
SHSE:601698 營收增長及盈利情況2024年6月24日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on China Satellite Communications' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

值得注意的是,CEO的薪水低於同等規模的公司的中位數。關注CEO的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否會在未來多年內實現盈利增長。如果你想進一步調查該股票,中國衛通的收益,營業額和現金流免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of China Satellite Communications, it has a TSR of 271% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報TSR包括任何分拆或折價資本籌集的價值,以及基於股息再投資的任何股息,可以認爲TSR給出了股票所生成的回報的更全面的畫面。在中國衛通的例子中,它在過去5年中的TSR爲271%。這超過了我們先前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We regret to report that China Satellite Communications shareholders are down 26% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 30% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Satellite Communications , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我們很遺憾地報告,中國衛通的股東今年下跌了26%(包括分紅派息)。不幸的是,這比大市跌幅的14%還要糟糕。然而,這可能只是因爲股價受到了更廣泛的市場動盪的影響。可能值得關注公司的基本面,以便找到一個好的機會。值得一提的是,長期股東獲得了回報,在半個十年中,每年增長了30%。如果基本數據繼續表明長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。雖然考慮市場條件可能對股價產生的不同影響很值得,但是其他因素更加重要。例如,投資風險始終存在。我們已經確認了2個警告信號,需要了解它們應該是你投資過程中的一部分。

But note: China Satellite Communications may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:中國衛通可能不是最好的股票買入選擇。因此,請查看此免費的有過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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