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Cettire Shares Plummet After Surprise Downgrade Reveals Profit Issues

Cettire Shares Plummet After Surprise Downgrade Reveals Profit Issues

Cettire股價暴跌,意外降級揭示利潤問題。
sharecafe ·  06/24 18:03

Shares in online luxury goods seller Cettire (ASX:CTT) fell sharply on Monday after the company surprised investors with a downgrade. Upon closer inspection, it was revealed that the company had been selling goods at little to no profit in the final months of 2023-24.

週一,在線奢侈品銷售商Cettire(澳大利亞證券交易所股票代碼:CTT)的股價大幅下跌,此前該公司的降級令投資者感到驚訝。仔細檢查後發現,該公司在2023-24年的最後幾個月銷售商品幾乎沒有利潤。

The shares more than halved, hitting a day's low of $1.15 from last Friday's close, before slightly recovering to be down 48% at $1.16 by 1 pm.

該股下跌了一半以上,從上週五的收盤價觸及1.15美元的當日低點,然後小幅回升,至下午1點下跌48%,至1.16美元。

Cettire noted that it had experienced "strong, broad-based revenue growth" in the final quarter of 2023-24 but also admitted that "the operating environment within global online luxury has become more challenging."

Cettire指出,它在2023-24年最後一個季度經歷了 “強勁、基礎廣泛的收入增長”,但也承認 “全球在線奢侈品的運營環境變得更具挑戰性”。

(Monday saw Cettire, Star Entertainment, and Metcash use similar words to describe the current trading environment.)

(週一,Cettire、Star Entertainment和Metcash用類似的詞語來描述當前的交易環境。)

Cettire said it expected to deliver "significant" year-on-year growth in active customers, sales revenue, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), and cash.

Cettire表示,預計活躍客戶、銷售收入、調整後的扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA)和現金將實現 “顯著” 的同比增長。

Sales revenue is forecast to grow 77% to 99% from FY 2023 to $735 million–$745 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to fall in the range of $32 million to $35 million, up 24% to 36% year-on-year.

預計銷售收入將從2023財年增長77%至99%,達到7.35億美元至7.45億美元。調整後的息稅折舊攤銷前利潤預計將在3200萬美元至3500萬美元之間,同比增長24%至36%。

And that was the problem. Sales revenue in the nine months to March was $545.2 million, according to an update issued in April, with adjusted EBITDA for the nine months put at $32.1 million.

這就是問題所在。根據4月份發佈的最新情況,截至3月的九個月中,銷售收入爲5.452億美元,九個月調整後的息稅折舊攤銷前利潤爲3,210萬美元。

Now, the adjusted EBITDA figure for the full financial year to June 30 is estimated at $32 to $35 million, meaning the company will have sold around $200 million worth of goods in the current quarter for little or no profit ($3 million at best).

現在,截至6月30日的整個財政年度的調整後息稅折舊攤銷前利潤估計爲3200萬至3500萬美元,這意味着該公司將在本季度出售價值約2億美元的商品,但利潤微乎其微(充其量爲300萬美元)。

No wonder the shares collapsed once investors worked out the math and matched it to the comments.

難怪一旦投資者計算出數學結果並將其與評論相匹配,股價就會暴跌。

The company explained that weaker demand trends and increased promotional activity (advertising spending) had crimped margins and impacted its June quarter financial performance, leading investors to expect lower profits.

該公司解釋說,需求疲軟的趨勢和促銷活動(廣告支出)的增加壓低了利潤率並影響了其6月季度的財務業績,導致投資者預計利潤會降低。

"A softening demand environment and an increase in promotional activity has been visible across our footprint, particularly in the last several weeks as the market has entered the Spring Summer 24 sale period," CEO Dean Mintz said in the update.

首席執行官迪恩·明茨在最新消息中表示:“需求環境疲軟,促銷活動增加,尤其是在市場進入24春夏銷售期的最後幾週中。”

"Additionally, we believe the market is currently being impacted by clearance activity as certain players exit parts of the market.

“此外,我們認爲,隨着某些參與者退出部分市場,市場目前正受到清關活動的影響。

To continue to expand our market share, Cettire has selectively participated in the promotional activity, leading to an increase in marketing costs relative to sales and a decline in delivered margin percentage."

爲了繼續擴大我們的市場份額,Cettire有選擇地參與了促銷活動,導致營銷成本相對於銷售額的增加和交付利潤率的下降。”

However, he was still upbeat: "With FY24 nearing completion, we are expecting to report considerable growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the year. Not only does this highlight the strong traction that our platform is gaining both on the supply and demand side, but it also illustrates our efficient cost structure."

但是,他仍然樂觀:“隨着24財年接近尾聲,我們預計該年度的收入和調整後的息稅折舊攤銷前利潤將實現可觀的增長。這不僅凸顯了我們的平台在供需兩方面獲得的強大吸引力,而且還說明了我們的高效成本結構。”

Investors ignored the news that the company's direct platform in mainland China went live on Sunday and was "already processing orders," according to Mintz—an afterthought in the wake of the slump in earnings.

根據Mintz的說法,投資者忽略了該公司在中國大陸的直接平台於週日上線的消息,而且 “已經在處理訂單”,這是收益暴跌之後的事後才想到的。

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