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Investing in PCCW (HKG:8) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 36% Gain

Investing in PCCW (HKG:8) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 36% Gain

五年前投資電訊盈科(HKG:8)可以帶來36%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  06/25 18:03

These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. A talented investor can beat the market with a diversified portfolio, but even then, some stocks will under-perform. While the PCCW Limited (HKG:8) share price is down 14% over half a decade, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was 36%. That's better than the market which declined 9.2% over the same time.

如今,簡單地購買指數基金很容易,而且您的回報應該(大致)與市場相匹配。有才華的投資者可以通過多元化的投資組合擊敗市場,但即便如此,一些股票的表現仍將不佳。雖然電訊盈科有限公司(HKG: 8)的股價在五年內下跌了14%,但股東總回報率(包括股息)爲36%。這比同期下跌9.2%的市場要好。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考慮到這一點,值得一看公司的基本面是否是長期業績的驅動力,或者是否存在一些差異。

PCCW isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

PCCW目前沒有盈利,因此大多數分析師會着眼於收入的增長,以了解基礎業務的增長速度。當一家公司沒有盈利時,我們通常希望看到良好的收入增長。可以想象,收入的快速增長如果持續下去,通常會帶來利潤的快速增長。

In the last five years PCCW saw its revenue shrink by 1.5% per year. While far from catastrophic that is not good. The share price decline at a rate of 3% per year is disappointing. But it doesn't surprise given the falling revenue. It might be worth watching for signs of a turnaround - buyers are probably expecting one.

在過去五年中,PCCW的收入每年減少1.5%。雖然這遠非災難性,但這並不好。股價每年以3%的速度下跌令人失望。但是,考慮到收入的下降,這並不奇怪。可能值得關注的轉機跡象——買家可能正在期待這種轉機。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:8 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 25th 2024
SEHK: 8 2024 年 6 月 25 日的收益和收入增長

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on PCCW

像我們一樣,內部人士在過去的十二個月中一直在購買股票。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應有助於您對PCCW形成看法

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of PCCW, it has a TSR of 36% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。就電訊盈科而言,其過去5年的股東回報率爲36%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

PCCW shareholders have received returns of 7.1% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 6%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand PCCW better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for PCCW you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

電訊盈科股東在十二個月內獲得了7.1%的回報(甚至包括股息),這與總體市場回報率相差不遠。大多數人會對收益感到滿意,而今年的回報率實際上好於五年的平均回報率(6%),這很有幫助。即使股價增長從現在開始放緩,從長遠來看,這很可能是值得關注的業務。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解PCCW,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個很好的例子:我們發現了兩個你應該注意的PCCW警告信號,其中一個可能很嚴重。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.

還有許多其他公司有內部人士購買股票。你可能不想錯過這份內部人士正在收購的被低估的小盤股公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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