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Is UTour Group (SZSE:002707) Using Too Much Debt?

Is UTour Group (SZSE:002707) Using Too Much Debt?

衆信旅遊(SZSE:002707)是否過於借債?
Simply Wall St ·  06/25 22:29

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, UTour Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002707) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的對外基金經理人李錄( Li Lu )在他說'最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會承受到資本的永久損失'時毫不掩飾。當考慮一家公司的風險時,考慮公司的負債表是很自然的,因爲債務往往是一個公司破產時的主要原因。重要的是,衆信旅遊股份有限公司 (SZSE:002707)確實承擔了債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務創建了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,要麼通過籌集資金,要麼通過自己的現金流量,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有。然而,更爲頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以低得驚人的價格發行股票,永久地稀釋股東的持股,以鞏固其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,一家公司合理地管理其債務,使其受益。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看看它的現金和債務。

What Is UTour Group's Net Debt?

衆信旅遊的淨債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 UTour Group had CN¥856.3m of debt, an increase on CN¥581.9m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥568.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥287.8m.

您可以單擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示截至2024年3月,衆信旅遊有8.563億元的債務,同比增長了5.819億人民幣,超過一年。然而,它確實有5.686億元的現金抵消了這一點,導致淨債務約爲2.878億元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002707 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024
SZSE:002707股票的債務股本比歷史記錄於2024年6月26日

How Healthy Is UTour Group's Balance Sheet?

衆信旅遊的資產負債表狀況如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that UTour Group had liabilities of CN¥1.82b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥9.21m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥568.6m in cash and CN¥360.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥895.7m.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,衆信旅遊有18.2億元的短期負債和921萬元的長期負債。抵消這一點的是,它有5.686億元的現金和3.604億元的預付款項,一年內應收款項。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收款項的總和895.7萬元。

Of course, UTour Group has a market capitalization of CN¥5.68b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

當然,衆信旅遊市值爲56.8億元,所以這些負債可能是可以管理的。但是有足夠的負債,我們絕對建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的變化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。

UTour Group's debt is 2.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One redeeming factor for UTour Group is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥104m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if UTour Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

衆信旅遊的債務是其EBITDA的2.6倍,而其EBIT覆蓋其利息支出的3.6倍。這表明儘管債務水平很高,我們還沒有稱其爲有問題的。對於衆信旅遊的一個挽救性的因素是,它將去年的EBIT虧損轉換爲過去12個月的1.04億元收益。資產負債表顯然是在你分析債務時要關注的領域。但是,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定衆信旅遊能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的想法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, UTour Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。因此,值得檢查的是,利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)支持的自由現金流是多少。值得高興的是,衆信旅遊在過去一年中實際上產生了比EBIT多的自由現金流。這種強勁的現金產生方式讓我們感到非常欣慰,就像穿着大黃蜂服的小狗一樣可愛。

Our View

我們的觀點

UTour Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that UTour Group can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for UTour Group you should be aware of.

衆信旅遊的EBIT轉換爲自由現金流顯示,它可以像C羅對付14歲以下的門將一樣輕鬆地處理其債務。但是,更爲嚴峻的是,我們對其利息覆蓋率有些擔憂。綜合考慮前述所有因素,我們認爲衆信旅遊可以相當舒適地處理其債務。在積極方面,這種槓桿可以提高股東的回報率,但潛在的下行風險更大。因此,值得監控資產負債表。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表內,甚至不是大多數風險。一個例子:我們注意到了就衆信旅遊的1個警示標誌, 您應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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