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Positive Sentiment Still Eludes China Tontine Wines Group Limited (HKG:389) Following 33% Share Price Slump

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes China Tontine Wines Group Limited (HKG:389) Following 33% Share Price Slump

經過33%的股價暴跌,中國通天酒業集團有限公司(HKG:389)仍未擺脫積極情緒的困擾。
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 18:27

China Tontine Wines Group Limited (HKG:389) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 33% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Beverage industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.6x, you may consider China Tontine Wines Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:389 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 26th 2024

What Does China Tontine Wines Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

China Tontine Wines Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Tontine Wines Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as China Tontine Wines Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 29% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 75% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that China Tontine Wines Group's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does China Tontine Wines Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

China Tontine Wines Group's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We're very surprised to see China Tontine Wines Group currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for China Tontine Wines Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Tontine Wines Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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