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Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (SHSE:600887) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 22% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (SHSE:600887) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 22% If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前投資,內蒙古伊利實業集團股份有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600887)的投資者現在面臨着22%的虧損。
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 18:31

No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. The Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600887) is down 29% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -22% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 27% over the last three years. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 10% in a month. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 6.9% in the same time period.

在股票上虧錢是沒人喜歡的。但當市場下跌時,你肯定會有一些輸家。伊利股份(SHSE: 600887)在三年內下跌了29%,但是如果包括股息,股東總回報率爲-22%。這比市場在過去三年下降27%要好。最近,股價在一個月內進一步下跌了10%。然而,我們注意到股價可能受到整個市場的影響,在同一時期下跌了6.9%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得評估公司的經濟狀況是否與這些不盡如人意的股東回報同時發展並步調一致,或者兩者之間是否存在差異。因此,讓我們來看看。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話:短期內市場是一個投票機,但長期來看它是一個稱重機。評估公司周邊環境的情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 11% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股價下跌期間,伊利股份的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年提高了11%。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑EPS在該時期內是否是業務績效的良好指南(也許是由於一次性損失或收益),或者過去的增長預期可能不合理。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得一提的是,在三年的時間裏,營業收入實際上年增長了32%,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。很可能需要進一步調查中國儒意控股,因爲我們在分析中可能會漏掉一些內容,而這也可能是一個機會。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group has increased its revenue over the last three years. If the company can keep growing revenue, there may be an opportunity for investors. You might have to dig deeper to understand the recent share price weakness.

考慮到股息支付的良好情況,我們懷疑它們是否引起了市場的關注。很高興看到伊利股份在過去三年中增加了其營業收入。如果公司可以繼續增長收入,股東可能有機會。你可能需要深入了解最近的股價疲軟。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600887 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 26th 2024
SHSE:600887收益與營收增長2024年6月26日

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

伊利股份很受投資者歡迎,許多聰明的分析師試圖預測未來的利潤水平。因此,我們建議查看這份免費的報告,並顯示共識預測。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group, it has a TSR of -22% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報TSR是一個回報計算,它考慮了現金股息價值(假定任何股息收到均被再投資)以及任何折扣資本增發和分拆的計算價值。可以說,TSR提供了一張更全面的股票回報圖片。在伊利股份的情況下,過去3年的TSR爲-22%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提高了股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While it's never nice to take a loss, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 4.9% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 16%. Given the total loss of 1.9% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group's dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

雖然損失從未是好事,但伊利股份的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去12個月的損失(4.9%)並不像市場損失(約16%)那麼糟糕。考慮到近五年的總損失率爲1.9%,似乎回報在過去十二個月中已經惡化。雖然有些投資者擅長購買困境中的公司(儘管價值被低估),但別忘了巴菲特說過“扭轉不易”。記住這一點,一個堅實的下一步可能是查看伊利股份的股息走勢記錄。這一免費的互動圖表是一個很好的開始。

Of course Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,伊利股份可能不是最好的購買股票。因此,您可能希望查看這些增長股的免費集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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