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Insufficient Growth At Jiangsu Guotai International Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002091) Hampers Share Price

Insufficient Growth At Jiangsu Guotai International Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002091) Hampers Share Price

江蘇國泰創業板成長不足,阻礙了股價的上漲。
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 20:27

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x Jiangsu Guotai International Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002091) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 29x and even P/E's higher than 53x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Jiangsu Guotai International Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002091 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 27th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu Guotai International Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Jiangsu Guotai International Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Jiangsu Guotai International Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 6.0%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 43% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 15% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 36% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangsu Guotai International Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Guotai International Group's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Jiangsu Guotai International Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Guotai International Group (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Guotai International Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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