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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)?

股票下跌,但基本面堅實:紐交所Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN)錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/27 08:17

With its stock down 6.9% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Devon Energy's ROE today.

戴文能源(NYSE:DVN)過去三個月股價下跌了6.9%,很容易忽略。然而,對其健康的財務狀況進行更深入的了解可能會讓您重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常驅動着長期的市場結果,該公司值得關注。特別是,我們將關注戴文能源的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(淨資產收益率)是股東需考慮的一個重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本被有效地再投資的效果如何。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Devon Energy is:

所以根據以上公式,戴文能源的ROE爲:

27% = US$3.4b ÷ US$12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

27% = 34億美元 ÷ 120億美元(截至2024年3月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.27.

“回報”是指公司過去一年的收益。這意味着該公司爲其股東每投資1美元,可以創造0.27美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。根據公司再投資或“保留”的這些利潤的多少以及效率如何,我們能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。總體來說,在其他條件相同的情況下,roe和盈利“保留”高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司增長率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Devon Energy's Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

戴文能源的盈利增長和27%的ROE的側面比較

To begin with, Devon Energy has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 18% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. So, the substantial 48% net income growth seen by Devon Energy over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

首先,戴文能源具有相當高的ROE,這很有趣。其次,與該行業報告的平均ROE爲18%的比較也未被我們忽視。因此,戴文能源在過去五年中實現的可觀的48%淨利潤增長並不令人過分驚訝。

We then compared Devon Energy's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 38% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們將戴文能源的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,很高興看到該公司的增長率比同一5年期內38%的行業增長率要高。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:DVN Past Earnings Growth June 27th 2024
NYSE:DVN過去收益增長情況(截至2024年6月27日)

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is DVN worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether DVN is currently mispriced by the market.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者需要判斷接下來預期的盈利增長是否已經蘊含在股價中,以此來判斷股票是否跌宕起伏。戴文能源今天的價值是多少?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖表可以幫助您了解戴文能源是否被市場目前錯價。

Is Devon Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

戴文能源是否能夠高效利用其利潤?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 50% (implying that it keeps only 50% of profits) for Devon Energy suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of the earnings to its shareholders.

戴文能源高達50%的三年中位數派息比率(意味着其只留下了50%的利潤)表明即使它將大部分收益返還給股東,其增長也不會受到阻礙。

Besides, Devon Energy has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 26% over the next three years. Still forecasts suggest that Devon Energy's future ROE will drop to 19% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to decrease. This suggests that there could be other factors could driving the anticipated decline in the company's ROE.

此外,戴文能源已經連續十年或更長時間支付股息。這表明公司致力於與股東分享利潤。我們的最新分析數據顯示,未來三年該公司的派息比率預計將降至26%。儘管預計該公司的派息比率將下降,但預測仍表明戴文能源未來的ROE將下降至19%。這表明可能有其他因素推動了公司ROE預期下降。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

On the whole, we feel that Devon Energy's performance has been quite good. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,我們認爲戴文能源的表現相當不錯。特別是,其高ROE非常值得注意,也可以解釋其相當可觀的盈利增長。然而,該公司保留了一小部分利潤。這意味着該公司能夠在其利潤被分紅派息的情況下實現盈利增長,所以這並不太糟糕。話雖如此,研究最新的分析師預測後,我們發現儘管該公司過去實現了盈利增長,但分析師預計其未來的盈利將會下降。這些分析師預測是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於該公司的基本面?點擊這裏進入我們的分析師預測頁面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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