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Is JWIPC Technology (SZSE:001339) A Risky Investment?

Is JWIPC Technology (SZSE:001339) A Risky Investment?

JWIPC 科技(SZSE:001339)是否存在投資風險?
Simply Wall St ·  06/27 21:53

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that JWIPC Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001339) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯先生在表達其看跌觀點時說道:“相比擔心股價波動,我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性……我認識的所有實際投資者都擔心這個問題。” 在我們考慮公司的風險性時,我們總是喜歡研究其債務使用情況,因爲負債過重會導致毀滅性後果。 我們可以看到,深圳市京威電子股份有限公司(SZSE:001339)在開展業務時確實使用了債務。 但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多少風險呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果企業無法償還其債權人,則必須順應債權人的意願。 在最壞的情況下,企業無法償還其債權人,可能會破產。 儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司會因債權人強迫它們以低於市場價格的價格募集資本而導致永久性股權稀釋。 當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它替代具有高回報率的再投資公司的股權稀釋時。 當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平的總體情況。

What Is JWIPC Technology's Net Debt?

深圳市京威電子股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 JWIPC Technology had debt of CN¥305.9m, up from CN¥80.0m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥675.5m in cash, so it actually has CN¥369.6m net cash.

下圖所示的是深圳市京威電子股份有限公司截至2024年3月的債務情況,債務餘額爲305.9百萬元人民幣,較一年前的800百萬元人民幣有所增加。然而,其資產負債表顯示其持有現金爲675.5百萬元人民幣,因此實際上擁有淨現金36,960百萬元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:001339 Debt to Equity History June 28th 2024
SZSE:001339的債權到股權歷史記錄

A Look At JWIPC Technology's Liabilities

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,深圳市京威電子股份有限公司的流動負債在12個月內爲12.3億元人民幣,超過12個月爲279百萬元人民幣。另一方面,它持有現金爲675.5百萬元人民幣,其一年內應收賬款總值爲513.2百萬元人民幣。因此,其負債總額超過其現金和短期應收賬款總額合計680百萬元人民幣。

According to the last reported balance sheet, JWIPC Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.23b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥27.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥675.5m and CN¥513.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥68.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

這種情況表明,深圳市京威電子股份有限公司的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。 因此,儘管不難想象這家市值621億元人民幣的公司不會因現金短缺而陷入困境,但我們仍然認爲它值得密切關注其資產負債表。 儘管其負債明顯,但深圳市京威電子股份有限公司卻擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有負擔沉重的債務!

This state of affairs indicates that JWIPC Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥6.21b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, JWIPC Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

如果管理層無法阻止過去一年EBIT下降75%的重演,深圳市京威電子股份有限公司的債務負擔控制將變得至關重要。 當涉及還債時,下滑的盈利不會比含糖飲料對健康更有益。 毫無疑問,資產負債表是我們了解債務情況的最重要來源。 但它的未來盈利,而不是任何其他因素,將決定深圳市京威電子股份有限公司保持健康資產負債表的能力。 因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此免費報告以獲取分析師的利潤預測。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for JWIPC Technology if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 75% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine JWIPC Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最後,公司只能用現金來償還債務,而無法依靠會計利潤。 雖然深圳市京威電子股份有限公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但看一下其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力仍然有價值,以幫助我們了解它正在快速建立(或侵蝕)資金餘額的速度。 在過去三年中,深圳市京威電子股份有限公司的自由現金流明顯爲負。 儘管投資者無疑希望以上情況發生逆轉,但這確實意味着其使用債務具有更高的風險性。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While JWIPC Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, JWIPC Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

儘管查看公司的總負債始終是個好主意,但深圳市京威電子股份有限公司擁有369.6百萬元人民幣的淨現金,這非常令人放心。 因此,儘管深圳市京威電子股份有限公司的資產負債表並不完美,但也不算太差。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個很好的起點。 但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表上 - 遠非如此。 試舉例來說,我們已經發現深圳市京威電子股份有限公司存在着3個警示信號,您應該認真考慮,其中1個有點令人擔憂。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that JWIPC Technology has CN¥369.6m in net cash. So while JWIPC Technology does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for JWIPC Technology you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

雖然總負債的情況始終值得關注,但深圳市京威電子股份有限公司具有369.6百萬元人民幣的淨現金,這令人非常放心。 因此,深圳市京威電子股份有限公司的資產負債表並不完美,但也算不上太糟糕。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個很好的起點。 但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表上 - 遠非如此。 例如,我們已經發現深圳市京威電子股份有限公司存在着3個警示信號,您應該認真考慮,其中1個有些令人擔憂。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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