Those Who Invested in Huagong Tech (SZSE:000988) Five Years Ago Are up 94%
Those Who Invested in Huagong Tech (SZSE:000988) Five Years Ago Are up 94%
While Huagong Tech Company Limited (SZSE:000988) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 11% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. It has returned a market beating 91% in that time. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 21% decline over the last twelve months.
雖然華工科技股份有限公司(SZSE:000988)的股東可能總體上感到高興,但股票最近表現不佳,股價在上季度下跌了11%。 但這並不改變在過去五年中收益令人滿意的事實。在這段時間內,它的回報率爲市場平均水平高出91%。不幸的是,並非所有股東都將其長揸,因此請爲在過去12個月中損失21%的股東感到惋惜。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否和股東的回報率相符。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股票價格並不總是反映公司價值的合理方式。考慮市場對公司的看法如何發生變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的變動進行比較。股票價格並不總是反映公司價值的合理方式禾倫·巴菲特曾稱,股票價格並不總是合理地反映了企業的價值。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
Over half a decade, Huagong Tech managed to grow its earnings per share at 25% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 14% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
華工科技在過去五年中,每股收益增長了25%。相比之下,該股同期年均股價漲幅僅有14%。因此,市場對該股的熱情度似乎不及以往。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Huagong Tech the TSR over the last 5 years was 94%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮到任何給定股票的總股東回報率和股價回報率都很重要。雖然股價回報率只反映了股價的變化,但TSR包括股息價值(假設它們已被再投資)以及任何折價融資或剝離的利益。可以說,TSR提供了一種更全面的股票回報圖景。我們注意到,華工科技在過去5年中的TSR爲94%,高於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market lost about 16% in the twelve months, Huagong Tech shareholders did even worse, losing 21% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 14% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Huagong Tech has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
雖然整個市場在過去12個月跌幅約16%,但是華工科技股東的損失更大,達到21%(包括分紅)。即使在下跌市場中,也不可避免地有些股票會被過度拋售。關鍵在於關注基本面的發展情況。從正面看,長期持股人獲得了14%的年收益率。如果基本數據繼續表明長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。當然,考慮市場條件對股價可能產生的不同影響是值得的,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如承擔風險 - 華工科技有1個預警信號,我們認爲您應該注意。
Of course Huagong Tech may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,華工科技可能不是最好的股票購買選擇。因此,您可能希望查看這個免費的成長股收藏。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com