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Strong Week for Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (HKG:1877) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Three-year Loss

Strong Week for Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (HKG:1877) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Three-year Loss

上海君實生物(HKG:1877)股東業績強勁,但三年虧損仍令人痛苦。
Simply Wall St ·  06/28 18:59

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd. (HKG:1877) share price has gained 19% in the last three months. But that is meagre solace in the face of the shocking decline over three years. The share price has sunk like a leaky ship, down 81% in that time. So it's about time shareholders saw some gains. Only time will tell if the company can sustain the turnaround. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

近三個月來,上海君實生物科技股份有限公司(HKG:1877)股價漲了19%,雖然這不是驚人的舉動,但在這三年的震盪下,這給股東們帶來了些許安慰。股價像一艘漏水的船舶一樣下沉,在那段時間裏下跌了81%,所以股東們確實需要看到一些收益。只有時間可以證明企業能否維持這個局面。我們真的希望在價格崩盤期間持有的人有一個多樣化的組合。即使你虧錢了,你也不該虧掉這個教訓。

While the last three years has been tough for Shanghai Junshi Biosciences shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

雖然對於上海君實生物科技的股東來說,過去的三年很艱難,但最近的一週顯示出了一些希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期的基本面,並查看它們是否成爲負回報的推動力。

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

在過去的十二個月中,上海君實生物科技沒有盈利,因此其股價和每股收益(EPS)之間不太可能存在強相關性。營業收入可能是我們的下一個最佳選擇。一般來說,沒有盈利的公司預計每年都會增加營業收入,並且增長速度很快。一些公司願意推遲盈利,以更快地增長營業收入,但在這種情況下,人們希望有良好的公司銷售增長來彌補缺乏盈利的問題。

In the last three years Shanghai Junshi Biosciences saw its revenue shrink by 37% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. The swift share price decline at an annual compound rate of 22%, reflects this weak fundamental performance. We prefer leave it to clowns to try to catch falling knives, like this stock. There is a good reason that investors often describe buying a sharply falling stock price as 'trying to catch a falling knife'. Think about it.

在過去的三年中,上海君實生物科技每年的營業收入下降了37%,這意味着它的營業收入趨勢與其他虧損公司相比非常弱。每年以22%的年複合率快速下跌的股價反映出這種弱的基本面表現。我們寧願讓小丑去抓住掉落的刀子,比如這隻股票。通常,投資者經常將購買急劇下跌的股票價格描述爲 “試圖抓住落下的刀子”,所以請想想這個比喻。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1877 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 28th 2024
2024年6月28日SEHK:1877的收益和收入增長

This free interactive report on Shanghai Junshi Biosciences' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想進一步調查股票,這份免費的交互式報告關於上海君實生物科技的資產負債表強度是一個很好的起點。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While the broader market gained around 5.1% in the last year, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences shareholders lost 49%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Junshi Biosciences better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shanghai Junshi Biosciences .

雖然更廣泛的市場在去年漲了約5.1%,但上海均石生物股東虧損了49%。即使優秀股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在產業基本數據有所改善之前,我們能夠關注股票。不幸的是,去年的表現不佳,股東們在過去的五年裏每年面臨總損失10%。我們知道,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該在"街頭看到濃厚血腥時買入",但我們提醒投資者首先要確保購買的是優質的公司。長期追蹤股價表現總是很有趣的,但要更好地了解上海均石生物,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,你應該意識到我們發現了一個警告信號在上海均石生物。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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