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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get First Hawaiian (NASDAQ:FHB) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get First Hawaiian (NASDAQ:FHB) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

過去三年,正面的收益增長並不能爲first hawaiian(納斯達克股票代碼:FHB)的股東帶來良好的回報。
Simply Wall St ·  06/29 08:51

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term First Hawaiian, Inc. (NASDAQ:FHB) shareholders, since the share price is down 29% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 18%.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是值得的,值得努力打敗市場指數基金的回報率。但股票選手的風險在於你可能會購買表現不佳的公司。不幸的是,這已經對長揸First Hawaiian, Inc.(納斯達克:FHB)股票的股東造成了影響,因爲這家公司的股價在過去的三年中下跌了29%,遠遠低於市場回報率的18%左右。

While the stock has risen 3.5% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

儘管該股上週上漲了3.5%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股票價格並不總是反映公司價值的合理方式。考慮市場對公司的看法如何發生變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的變動進行比較。股票價格並不總是反映公司價值的合理方式禾倫·巴菲特曾經描述過,股價並不總是理性地反映了企業的價值。評估市場對一家公司的情緒如何變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, First Hawaiian actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 3.4% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

在不幸的三年股價下跌期間,First Hawaiian的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年提高了3.4%。考慮到股價反應,人們可能會懷疑EPS在這一期間內是否是業務表現的好指標(可能由於一次性損失或收益),或者公司在過去被過度炒作,所以其增長未達預期。

It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.

我們認爲市場在三年前可能過於看好增長預期,但通過看其他指標可能會更有啓迪。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. We like that First Hawaiian has actually grown its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.

我們注意到該分紅派息似乎足夠健康,所以這可能不能解釋股價下跌。我們喜歡First Hawaiian在過去三年實際上增加了其營業收入。但我們不清楚股價下跌的原因。可能需要更深入地了解基本面,以免錯失機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:FHB Earnings and Revenue Growth June 29th 2024
NasdaqGS:FHB的收益和營收增長截至2024年6月29日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在這個免費的互動圖表中看到它的資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而加強(或削弱)。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of First Hawaiian, it has a TSR of -19% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報TSR是一個回報率計算,考慮現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的股息都被再投資),以及任何折扣後的資本增發和分拆的計算值。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。就First Hawaiian而言,它在過去3年的TSR爲-19%左右,高於我們之前提到的股價回報率。公司支付的分紅因此提高了股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

First Hawaiian shareholders have received returns of 21% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 0.2% per year. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with First Hawaiian .

First Hawaiian股東在過去的12個月中獲得了21%的回報(包括股息),與普遍市場回報率相差無幾。這個收益看起來相當令人滿意,甚至比過去5年每年0.2%的TSR還好。即使股價增長從現在開始放緩,這也是一個長期值得關注的企業。儘管考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響是非常值得的,但還有其他更重要的因素。因此,您應該意識到我們在First Hawaiian中發現的1個警示信號。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司-具有潛在更優質財務狀況的公司-則不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,這些公司已經證明他們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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