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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425)?

股票下跌,財務狀況良好:市場對中國中鐵建造業重工業股份有限公司(SHSE:688425)的判斷錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/30 20:41

With its stock down 7.1% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard China Railway Construction Heavy Industry (SHSE:688425). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's ROE.

由於過去三個月其股票下跌了7.1%,因此很容易忽略中國中鐵重工(SHSE:688425)。但是如果仔細關注,您可能會發現其主要財務指標看起來相當不錯,這意味着股票在長期內有可能上漲,因爲市場通常會獎勵更具韌性的長期基本面。在本文中,我們決定關注中國中鐵重工的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率(roe)是衡量公司經營管理層如何有效利用公司資本的關鍵指標。換言之,它是一種利潤率,衡量由公司股東提供的資本的回報率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is:

因此,基於上述公式,中國中鐵重工的ROE爲:

9.1% = CN¥1.5b ÷ CN¥17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

9.1% = CN¥ 15億 ÷ CN¥ 170億(基於截至2024年3月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.09.

“回報”指的是過去十二個月的利潤。這意味着對於股東的每1元投資,公司可以創造0.09元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定了roe作爲衡量公司未來收益的有效收益率。現在我們需要評估公司再投資或“保留”的利潤,以便了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切不變,ROE和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而與不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比。

A Side By Side comparison of China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's Earnings Growth And 9.1% ROE

中國中鐵重工的收益增長和9.1%的ROE的並列比較

At first glance, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.9%, is definitely interesting. Having said that, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's net income growth over the past five years is more or less flat. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the low to flat growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

乍一看,中國中鐵重工的ROE並不令人興奮。但是,事實上,公司的ROE高於6.9%的行業平均ROE確實是有趣的。話雖如此,過去五年中國中鐵重工的淨收入增長率幾乎沒有增長。請記住,公司的ROE一開始就有點低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,收益的低增長或持平也可能是這種結果。作爲下一步,我們將中國中鐵重工的淨收入增長與行業進行比較,並且發現,公司的增長低於同期9.5%的行業平均增長。

As a next step, we compared China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 9.5% in the same period.

其次,我們將中國中鐵重工的淨收入增長與行業進行比較,並且發現,公司的增長低於同期9.5%的行業平均增長。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688425 Past Earnings Growth July 1st 2024
SHSE:688425過去的收益增長2024年7月1日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is China Railway Construction Heavy Industry fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

對於一個公司的價值賦予是在很大程度上與其收益增長相聯繫的。投資者需要確定的下一步是,預期的收益增長或其缺乏已經融入股票價格中。這樣,他們將了解股票是否前往清澈的藍水或者到達沼澤地。與其他公司相比,中國中鐵重工是否公允價值?這3個估值指標可能有助於您做出決定。

Is China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中國中鐵重工是否有效利用其保留收益?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71%), China Railway Construction Heavy Industry hasn't seen much growth in its earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管中國中鐵重工的三年中位數支出比率爲29%(或保留比率爲71%),但其收益增長並不多。因此,這方面可能會有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能在惡化。

In addition, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry only recently started paying a dividend so the management must have decided the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,中國中鐵重工近來才開始支付股息,因此管理層必須決定股東更喜歡股息而不是收益增長。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

On the whole, we do feel that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們確實認爲中國中鐵重工具有一些積極的屬性。雖然我們看到了適度ROE和高的再投資率,但也對收益缺乏增長表示失望。 我們相信可能存在一些外部因素對業務產生了負面影響。 話雖如此,最新的行業分析師預測表明,公司的收益預計將加速增長。 這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期還是基於公司的基本面?單擊此處轉到公司的分析師預測頁面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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