You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 16.7x ArcSoft Corporation Limited (SHSE:688088) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in China have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does ArcSoft's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, ArcSoft has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think ArcSoft's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For ArcSoft?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like ArcSoft's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 31% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 29% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that ArcSoft is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On ArcSoft's P/S
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Analysts are forecasting ArcSoft's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
Having said that, be aware ArcSoft is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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