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Nike Hits 52-Week Low: Can The Swoosh Rebound?

Nike Hits 52-Week Low: Can The Swoosh Rebound?

耐克一度創52周新低:大廠能否反彈?
Benzinga ·  07/01 08:59

Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE) just sprinted past a new 52-week low, dipping to $74.55 during day trading on Friday. With the stock down 33.32% year-over-year and 30.58% year-to-date, investors are wondering if the iconic brand has lost its footing.

耐克公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:NKE)剛剛突破了52周新低,在週五的日間交易中跌至74.55美元。該股同比下跌33.32%,年初至今下跌30.58%,投資者想知道這個標誌性品牌是否已經失去了立足點。

Nike Q4 Earnings Blues

耐克第四季度收益憂鬱

The recent sell-off comes on the heels of Nike's fourth-quarter earnings call, where CFO Matthew Friend painted a less-than-rosy picture for fiscal 2025. The company now expects a mid-single-digit decline in reported revenue, a sharp pivot from previous growth projections.

最近的拋售是在耐克第四季度業績電話會議之後發生的,首席財務官馬修·弗裏德對2025財年描繪了一幅不那麼樂觀的畫面。該公司現在預計,報告的收入將下降中等個位數,這與先前的增長預測相比有明顯的轉變。

Nike anticipates a 10% revenue drop in the first quarter, driven by aggressive management of classic footwear lines, ongoing challenges in digital sales, subdued wholesale orders, a softer outlook in Greater China and several timing-related factors.

耐克預計,第一季度收入將下降10%,這要歸因於對經典鞋類系列的積極管理、數字銷售的持續挑戰、批發訂單疲軟、大中華區前景疲軟以及一些與時機相關的因素。

Adding to the woes, foreign exchange headwinds are expected to shave off one point from the year's revenue.

更糟糕的是,外匯不利因素預計將使該年度的收入減少一個百分點。

Read Also: Nike Q4 Earnings Highlights: Revenue Miss, EPS Beat, 'Taking Our Near-Term Challenges Head-On'

另請閱讀:耐克第四季度業績亮點:收入不足,每股收益超過預期,“直面短期挑戰”

In response, a slew of analysts, including those from Citigroup, Wells Fargo, HSBC, Goldman Sachs, Barclays, BofA Securities, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and Wedbush, have slashed their price targets. Despite the lowered targets, the average analyst price target of $107.25 still suggests a potential 35%+ upside from current levels.

作爲回應,包括花旗集團、富國銀行、匯豐銀行、高盛、巴克萊、美銀證券、摩根大通、摩根士丹利和韋德布什在內的許多分析師都下調了目標股價。儘管下調了目標,但分析師的平均目標股價爲107.25美元,仍表明可能比當前水平上漲35%以上。

Nike Stock – Technical Signals Are Bearish

耐克股票—技術信號看跌

Nike's technical indicators are waving red flags. The stock is currently trading below its 5, 20 and 50-day exponential moving averages, signaling a strongly bearish trend.

耐克的技術指標正在揮舞着危險信號。該股目前的交易價格低於其5、20和50天指數移動平均線,這表明存在強烈的看跌趨勢。

Chart: Benzinga Pro

圖表:Benzinga Pro

With the share price at $75.37, well below key moving averages—$90.46 (8-day), $93.11 (20-day), $92.94 (50-day) and $100.10 (200-day)—the outlook appears grim.

股價爲75.37美元,遠低於關鍵移動平均線——90.46美元(8天)、93.11美元(20天)、92.94美元(50天)和100.10美元(200天)——前景顯得嚴峻。

Chart: Benzinga Pro

圖表:Benzinga Pro

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator at -2.40 further confirms the bearish momentum. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 18.07 suggests the stock is oversold, typically a precursor to a potential rebound, but also a sign of significant selling pressure.

-2.40的移動平均收斂散度(MACD)指標進一步證實了看跌勢頭。此外,18.07的相對強弱指數(RSI)表明該股已超賣,這通常是潛在反彈的先兆,但也表明存在巨大拋售壓力。

Bollinger Bands add to the bearish sentiment with the 25-day bands ranging from $82.23 to $103.83, with Nike stock price moving towards the lower bearish band. Also, the widening bands indicate that price volatility for this stock has increased.

布林帶加劇了看跌情緒,25天區間從82.23美元到103.83美元不等,耐克股價向下看跌區間移動。此外,波段的擴大表明該股票的價格波動性有所增加。

Can Nike Bounce Back?

耐克能反彈嗎?

While the current technical signals are decidedly bearish, the company's strong brand and history of innovation could provide a foundation for a comeback. If Nike can navigate its short-term challenges and capitalize on its strategic initiatives, there may still be light at the end of the tunnel.

儘管當前的技術信號明顯看跌,但該公司強大的品牌和創新歷史可能爲捲土重來奠定基礎。如果耐克能夠應對短期挑戰並利用其戰略舉措,那麼隧道盡頭可能仍有曙光。

For now, the stock's journey toward recovery hinges on overcoming significant headwinds and proving that it can bounce back stronger. Investors will be closely watching Nike's next moves to see if it can reclaim its stride.

目前,該股的復甦之旅取決於克服重大阻力並證明其能夠更強勁地反彈。投資者將密切關注耐克的下一步行動,看看它能否重獲長足的進步。

  • Nike Analysts Sour On Retailer's Short-Term Prospects Following Poor Outlook: 'No Quick Rebound'
  • 由於前景不佳,耐克分析師對零售商的短期前景不佳:“沒有快速反彈”

Photo: Shutterstock

照片:Shutterstock

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