share_log

Is Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) A Risky Investment?

Is Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) A Risky Investment?

okta(納斯達克:okta)是否是一項冒險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/01 08:57

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,Okta, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:OKTA)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Okta Carry?

Okta 揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Okta had US$1.16b of debt in April 2024, down from US$1.83b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has US$2.32b in cash, leading to a US$1.17b net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示Okta在2024年4月有11.6億美元的債務,低於一年前的18.3億美元。但另一方面,它也有23.2億美元的現金,淨現金狀況爲11.7億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:OKTA Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024
NASDAQGS: OKTA 債券與股本的比率歷史 2024 年 7 月 1 日

How Healthy Is Okta's Balance Sheet?

Okta 的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Okta had liabilities of US$1.69b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$2.32b in cash and US$330.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$352.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Okta的負債爲16.9億美元,一年後到期的負債爲13.2億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有23.2億美元的現金和3.30億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出3.52億美元。

Since publicly traded Okta shares are worth a very impressive total of US$15.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Okta boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Okta's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

由於公開交易的Okta股票總價值令人印象深刻,爲157億美元,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。儘管負債值得關注,但Okta擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定Okta未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Okta reported revenue of US$2.4b, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

在過去的12個月中,Okta公佈的收入爲24億美元,增長了20%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。股東們可能對它能夠實現盈利抱有疑慮。

So How Risky Is Okta?

那麼 Okta 有多危險?

While Okta lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow US$578m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. The good news for Okta shareholders is that its revenue growth is strong, making it easier to raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Okta has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

儘管Okta在息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上蒙受了損失,但它實際上創造了5.78億美元的正自由現金流。因此,從面值來看,考慮到淨現金狀況,我們認爲該股在短期內風險不大。對Okta股東來說,好消息是其收入增長強勁,因此在需要時更容易籌集資金。但這並不能改變我們對股票有風險的看法。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如-Okta 有 2 個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論