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Is Cadre Holdings (NYSE:CDRE) A Risky Investment?

Is Cadre Holdings (NYSE:CDRE) A Risky Investment?

Cadre Holdings(紐交所:CDRE)是否是一項風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/01 11:19

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Cadre Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CDRE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

著名基金經理Li Lu(Charlie Munger支持)曾說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”因此當你思考某一股票的風險時,需要考慮到債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮企業。我們可以看到,Cadre Holdings, Inc.(紐交所:CDRE)的業務中確實使用了債務,但這是否會對股東構成擔憂呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還貸款人,那麼企業就存在於他們的慈悲中。資本主義的本質是“創造性的破壞”流程,失敗的企業會被銀行家無情地清算。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲貸款人強迫他們以困境價格籌集資金而永久稀釋股東權益。當然,債務可以是企業重要的工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務的水平。

How Much Debt Does Cadre Holdings Carry?

Cadre Holdings承擔了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Cadre Holdings had debt of US$215.8m, up from US$146.2m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$91.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$124.9m.

下面的圖片(點擊可放大)顯示,在2024年3月,Cadre Holdings的債務爲2.158億美元,比一年前的1.462億美元有所增加。但是,它具有9,100萬美元的現金,因此淨債務約爲1.249億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:CDRE Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024
NYSE:CDRE Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024

How Healthy Is Cadre Holdings' Balance Sheet?

我們可以從最新的資產負債表上看到,Cadre Holdings到期負債中,有9560萬美元是在一年之內到期的,有2.332億美元是在一年之後到期的。另一方面,它擁有9,100萬美元的現金和6810萬美元的應收賬款於一年內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款總額多出1.697億美元。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cadre Holdings had liabilities of US$95.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$233.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$91.0m and US$68.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$169.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

當然,Cadre Holdings的市值爲13.6億美元,所以這些負債可能是可以管理的。然而,我們認爲這值得關注它的資產負債表強度,因爲它可能隨時間而改變。

Of course, Cadre Holdings has a market capitalization of US$1.36b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

Cadre Holdings的淨債務/EBITDA比率約爲1.5,表明只是適度使用債務。其14.6倍的利息覆蓋率使我們更加放心。另一個好的跡象是,Cadre Holdings在12個月內能夠增加28%的EBIT,這讓其更容易償還債務。當你分析債務時,顯然需要關注資產負債表方面。但最終企業未來的盈利能力將決定Cadre Holdings能否隨時間加強其資產負債表。如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份有關分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了衡量公司相對於其收益的債務情況,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆蓋率)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨負債與 EBITDA),又考慮到了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。

Cadre Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.5 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 14.6 times, makes us even more comfortable. Another good sign is that Cadre Holdings has been able to increase its EBIT by 28% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cadre Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲企業無法用紙面利潤支付債務;它需要真金白銀。因此,我們需要查看EBIT與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年中,Cadre Holdings的自由現金流總額達到了非常強勁的EBIT的91%,超出了我們的預期。這使它處於非常有利的償還債務的位置。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Cadre Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 91% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Cadre Holdings的利息覆蓋能力表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo一樣輕鬆處理債務。更好的消息是,它將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力也支持這種印象!考慮到這一系列因素,我們認爲Cadre Holdings對其債務非常謹慎,風險似乎得到了很好的管理。因此,我們認爲資產負債表看起來相當健康。當然,不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。例如,Cadre Holdings有3項警告信號,我們認爲你應該了解它們。

Our View

我們的觀點

Cadre Holdings's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Cadre Holdings is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Cadre Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Cadre Holdings的利息保障倍數表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo對付14歲以下門將一樣輕鬆地處理其債務。而好消息並不止於此,由EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的轉換也支持這種印象!考慮到這些因素的範圍,我們認爲Cadre Holdings在債務方面相當謹慎,風險似乎被很好地管理着。所以在我們看來,資產負債表看起來非常健康。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域,但並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。例如,Cadre Holdings有3個警示信號,我們認爲您應該注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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