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Guangdong Quanwei Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300716) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Guangdong Quanwei Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300716) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

廣東泉爲科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300716)的股票上漲了28%,但其業務仍未趕上。
Simply Wall St ·  07/01 19:02

Those holding Guangdong Quanwei Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300716) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 42% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300716 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 1st 2024

How Has Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 32%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 59% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's P/S?

Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We find it unexpected that Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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