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Vtech Holdings Limited (HKG:303) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Vtech Holdings Limited (HKG:303) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

偉易達控股有限公司(HKG:303)股票表現強勁,但基本面不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 18:05

Vtech Holdings' (HKG:303) stock is up by a considerable 27% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Vtech Holdings' ROE today.

在過去的三個月裏,偉易達股份(303.HK)的股價上漲了可觀的27%。不過,我們想知道公司不一致的財務數據是否對當前股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。尤其是,我們將會關注偉易達股份今日的 ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股東權益回報率ROE是測試公司增值能力和管理股東投資的有效性的指標。更簡單地說,它衡量公司在股東權益中的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Vtech Holdings is:

因此,基於上述公式,偉易達股份的 ROE 爲:

26% = US$167m ÷ US$645m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

26% = 1.67億美元 ÷ 6.45億美元(基於截至2024年3月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.26.

“回報”是企業在過去一年內賺取的收入。因此,這意味着對於股東的每1港元投資,公司能夠創造0.26港元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE對於盈利增長的重要性是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定roe是公司未來盈利的高效衡量標準。根據公司選擇重新投資或“保留”利潤的數量,我們可以評估公司未來盈利能力。一般來說,在其他條件相等的情況下,roe和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司增長率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Vtech Holdings' Earnings Growth And 26% ROE

偉易達股份盈利增長和26%的 ROE 的並列比較

First thing first, we like that Vtech Holdings has an impressive ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 5.3% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. For this reason, Vtech Holdings' five year net income decline of 4.4% raises the question as to why the high ROE didn't translate into earnings growth. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

首先,我們很欣賞偉易達股份有一個令人印象深刻的 ROE。其次,與行業報告的平均 ROE 相比,達5.3%的比率也未被忽視。出於這個原因,偉易達股份過去五年的淨收入下降了4.4%,這就引出了爲什麼高 ROE 沒有轉化爲盈利增長的問題。我們認爲,這可能是由於其他一些因素阻止了公司的增長,包括低收益保留或資本配置不當。

That being said, we compared Vtech Holdings' performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 4.4% in the same 5-year period.

儘管如此,我們將偉易達股份的表現與行業進行了比較,當我們發現公司在同樣的5年期內收縮了收益時,我們感到擔憂,而行業卻以4.4%的速度增長了收益。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:303 Past Earnings Growth July 2nd 2024
SEHK:303 過去的盈利增長 2024 年 7 月 2 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is 303 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 303 is currently mispriced by the market.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者知道市場是否已經定價公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)非常重要。這將幫助他們確定該股票的未來前景是光明還是嚴峻。今天的303價值是多少?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖可以幫助了解303是否被市場低估。

Is Vtech Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

偉易達股份是否高效利用其利潤?

Vtech Holdings has a high three-year median payout ratio of 99% (that is, it is retaining 1.4% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Vtech Holdings visit our risks dashboard for free.

偉易達控股三年平均股息支付比率高達99%(即其將1.4%利潤保留),這表明該公司將其大部分利潤作爲股息支付給股東。這從某種程度上解釋了爲什麼它的利潤一直在下降。這使得公司再投資的資本變得很少,這是一種惡性循環,不利於公司的長遠發展。要了解我們爲偉易達股份確定的兩個風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀表板。

Additionally, Vtech Holdings has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 105% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Vtech Holdings is predicted to rise to 32% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

此外,偉易達股份已連續十年支付股息,這意味着即使目前股息對盈利增長幫助不大,公司管理層仍決心支付股息。在研究最新的分析師共識數據時,我們發現該公司預計在未來三年中將繼續支付約佔其利潤的105%。儘管預計其支付比率不會有太大變化,但偉易達股份未來的 ROE 預計將上升至32%。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Vtech Holdings. While the company does have a high rate of return, its low earnings retention is probably what's hampering its earnings growth. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. To gain further insights into Vtech Holdings' past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

總的來說,我們對偉易達股份有着複雜的感受。雖然該公司有高回報率,但其低收益保留可能是阻礙其盈利增長的原因。到目前爲止,我們只是通過查看公司的基本面來了解其過去的表現。要進一步了解偉易達股份過去的盈利增長,請查看此過去盈利、收入和現金流的可視化。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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