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Even After Rising 4.2% This Past Week, Shandong Iron and Steel (SHSE:600022) Shareholders Are Still Down 23% Over the Past Three Years

Even After Rising 4.2% This Past Week, Shandong Iron and Steel (SHSE:600022) Shareholders Are Still Down 23% Over the Past Three Years

即使在上週上漲了4.2%,山東鋼鐵(SHSE:600022)的股東在過去三年中仍然下跌了23%。
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 18:27

One of the frustrations of investing is when a stock goes down. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. While the Shandong Iron and Steel Company Ltd. (SHSE:600022) share price is down 27% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -23%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 25%.

投資中最讓人沮喪的一點是股票下跌。但在下降的市場中賺錢是很困難的。山東鋼鐵股份有限公司(SHSE:600022)股價在過去三年中下跌了27%,但股東的總回報(包括分紅)卻爲-23%。這一總回報實際上超過了市場下跌25%的回報。

The recent uptick of 4.2% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近上漲4.2%可能是好事的積極信號,因此讓我們來看看歷史基本面。

Given that Shandong Iron and Steel didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

考慮到山東鋼鐵在過去十二個月中沒有盈利,我們將關注其營業收入的增長來形成對其業務發展的快速了解。虧損公司的股東通常希望業務有強勁的營業收入增長,因爲如果營業收入增長微不足道,而且永遠不賺錢,很難確定一家公司是否具有可持續性。

Over the last three years, Shandong Iron and Steel's revenue dropped 5.2% per year. That is not a good result. The annual decline of 8% per year in that period has clearly disappointed holders. That makes sense given the lack of either profits or revenue growth. However, in this kind of situation you can sometimes find opportunity, where sentiment is negative but the company is actually making good progress.

在過去三年中,山東鋼鐵的營業收入年複合增長率下降了5.2%。這不是一個好的結果。在這一時期內每年下降了8%,顯然令持有者失望。考慮到缺乏利潤或營業收入增長,這是合理的。但是,在這種情況下,有時你可以找到機會,即情緒是負面的,但公司實際上正在取得良好的進展。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600022 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 2nd 2024
SHSE:600022盈利和營收增長2024年7月2日

Take a more thorough look at Shandong Iron and Steel's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通過這份免費報告,更深入地了解山東鋼鐵的財務狀況。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Shandong Iron and Steel's TSR for the last 3 years was -23%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

考慮到現金股利的價值(假設任何收到的股息都被再投資),以及任何折扣的股本增發和剝離的計算價值,必須考慮股東總回報以及股票價格回報,對於任何給定的股票。可以說,TSR提供了股票產生的回報更全面的圖片。恰好,山東鋼鐵過去3年的TSR爲-23%,超過了股票價格回報。毫無疑問分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Shandong Iron and Steel shares lost 13% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 16%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Shandong Iron and Steel has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

儘管看到山東鋼鐵股票在去年下跌了13%確實讓人失望,但那並不像市場下跌16%那樣糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲這比過去半個十年的年化虧損3%還要糟糕。雖然一些投資者在買入那些正在苦苦掙扎(但仍然被低估)的公司時表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特曾經說過“扭轉局勢很少會扭轉”。我認爲長期以來的股票價格作爲業績的一種代理非常有趣。但是要真正獲得洞見,我們需要考慮其他信息。例如,承擔風險-山東鋼鐵有2個警告標誌(其中1個是重大的),我們認爲您應該了解。

We will like Shandong Iron and Steel better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大型內部買入,我們會更喜歡山東鋼鐵。等待的同時,請查看此具有可觀的最近內部購買的免費低估股票(主要是小盤股)列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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