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Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600850) Using Too Much Debt?

Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600850) Using Too Much Debt?

CETC數字技術有限公司(SHSE:600850)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 18:32

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600850) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

作爲投資者,有人認爲波動性比債務更能反映風險,但禾倫•巴菲特曾說過:“波動性遠非風險同義詞。” 當你評估一家公司的風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務常常是企業崩潰的原因,我們注意到電科數字(SHSE:600850)的資產負債表上確實有債務,但更重要的問題是:這些債務會創造多少風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

通常情況下,只有當公司無法通過發行股票或自有現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才成爲真正的問題。在最糟糕的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人的債務,會崩潰破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以控制債務。當然,有很多公司利用債務來融資增長,沒有任何負面影響。考慮公司的現金和債務的總體情況是考慮其債務水平的第一步。

What Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's Debt?

CETC數字科技有限公司的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 CETC Digital TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥335.6m, up from CN¥242.3m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.76b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.42b net cash position.

下面的圖片(點擊可查看更詳細信息)顯示,截至2024年3月,電科數字科技有限公司的債務爲3.36億元人民幣,比去年同期的2.42億元人民幣增加。但另一方面,它也有17.6億元的現金,從而形成了14.2億元的淨現金位置。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600850 Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2024
SHSE:600850負債權益歷史記錄2024年7月2日

How Healthy Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

電科數字科技有限公司的資產負債表健康情況如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.95b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥460.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.76b in cash and CN¥3.09b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.57b.

根據最後一份業績披露的資產負債表顯示,電科數字科技有限公司有595億元人民幣的負債在12個月內到期,有4.608億元人民幣的負債在12個月後到期。抵銷這些負債,它有17.6億元人民幣的現金和309億元人民幣的預期收款再生期在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總和157億元人民幣。

Given CETC Digital TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥12.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

鑑於電科數字科技有限公司的市值爲125億元人民幣,很難相信這些負債構成了太大的威脅。但是,由於它確實有應該注意的負債,我們建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的變化。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但電科數字科技有限公司也擁有比債務更多的現金,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理其債務。

On the other hand, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd saw its EBIT drop by 7.5% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CETC Digital TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一方面,過去12個月,電科數字科技有限公司的EBIt下降了7.5%。如果這種情況持續下去,債務顯然將變得更難處理。顯然,資產負債表是分析債務時要重點關注的領域。但最終,企業未來的盈利能力將決定電科數字科技有限公司是否能隨着時間推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現分析師盈利預測免費報告會很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. CETC Digital TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd recorded free cash flow of 43% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,雖然國稅局可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。雖然電科數字科技有限公司在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但觀察企業將其利潤前利息、稅、折舊和攤銷(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力同樣令人感興趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需要和能力。從最近三年的情況來看,電科數字科技有限公司記錄了相對較弱的自由現金流佔EBIt的43%。當涉及償還債務時,這並不好。

Summing Up

總之

Although CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥1.42b. So we are not troubled with CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

儘管電科數字科技有限公司的資產負債表並不特別強大,但由於總負債,它明顯擁有1.42億元人民幣的淨現金,這是積極的。因此,我們對電科數字科技有限公司的債務使用並不擔心。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的最多信息。但最終,每個公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經發現電科數字科技有限公司有2個警告信號(其中1個是重要的),您應該注意這些風險。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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