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Is Troy Information Technology (SZSE:300366) A Risky Investment?

Is Troy Information Technology (SZSE:300366) A Risky Investment?

創意信息(SZSE:300366)是否是一項風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 19:35

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300366) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李璐(Charlie Munger支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格波動性,而是你是否會遭受資本永久損失。” 因此,當你考慮任何股票的風險性時,考慮債務就顯得很明顯,因爲太多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。 我們可以看到,創意信息科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300366)在業務中使用債務。 但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務能協助企業,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流償還爲止。資本主義的重要部分是“創意毀滅”過程,即銀行家無情地清算破產企業。當然,更常見的(但仍是昂貴的)情況是公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以控制債務。當然,很多公司使用債務來資助增長而沒有任何負面影響。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是考慮其現金和債務結合在一起。

What Is Troy Information Technology's Net Debt?

創意信息科技的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Troy Information Technology had debt of CN¥728.4m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥871.4m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥237.2m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥491.2m.

下面的圖像顯示,截至2024年3月底,創意信息科技的債務爲CN¥72840萬,較去年減少CN¥87140萬。然而,由於其現金儲備爲CN¥23720萬,因此其淨債務較少,約爲CN¥49120萬。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300366 Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2024
SZSE:300366負債股權歷史記錄2024年7月2日

A Look At Troy Information Technology's Liabilities

深入研究最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到創意信息科技有CN¥16.7億的負債在12個月內到期,CN¥1980萬的負債超過了預期。另一方面,它擁有CN¥23720萬的現金和CN¥10.9億元的應收款項在一年內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收款項的總和約爲CN¥36490萬。

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Troy Information Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.67b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥19.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥237.2m and CN¥1.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥364.9m.

當然,創意信息科技的市值爲CN¥44.6億,因此這些負債可能是可以承受的。儘管如此,很明顯我們應該繼續監視其資產負債表,以防情況惡化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務情況最多。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定創意信息科技如何隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,你可以查看這份自由現金流的課堂,顯示分析師的利潤預測。

Of course, Troy Information Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.46b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Troy Information Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

在過去的12個月裏,創意信息科技在EBIt水平上虧損,並且其營業收入下降到CN¥14億,下降了29%。坦率地說,這並不好。

Over 12 months, Troy Information Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.4b, which is a fall of 29%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在過去的十二個月中,創意信息技術的營業收入不僅下滑,而且EBIT也出現了負面收益。實際上,它在EBIt水平上虧損了CN¥39600萬。當我們考慮到其資產負債表上的負債相對於現金時,這顯得很不明智,並且認爲該公司有任何債務。因此,我們認爲它的資產負債表有點緊張,儘管不是無法修復。然而,它在過去一年中燒掉了CN¥3200萬現金,這並不利於它。坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點。但並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,從中可以看出這些風險很難披露。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一條創意信息科技的警告信號,你應該知道。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

Not only did Troy Information Technology's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥396m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥32m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Troy Information Technology you should know about.

在過去的12個月裏,創意信息技術不僅營業收入下滑,而且EBIT也出現了負面收益。實際上,它在EBIt水平上虧損了CN¥39600萬。在我們看到這一點並回憶起其資產負債表上的負債相對於現金時,我們認爲該公司有任何債務都是不明智的。因此,我們認爲它的資產負債表有點緊張,儘管不是無法修復。然而,它在過去一年中燒掉了CN¥3200萬現金,這並不利於它。坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點。但並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。這些風險很難披露。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一條創意信息科技的警告信號,你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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