Eurozone Inflation Eases But ECB Likely To Keep Interest Rates On Hold: MIDF Research Finds
Eurozone Inflation Eases But ECB Likely To Keep Interest Rates On Hold: MIDF Research Finds
Consumer prices slip to 2.5% but core rate stays high, prompting little belief in further cuts in borrowing costs, news reports cited recently MIDF Research said the ECB will keep its interest rate status quo for Jul-24 policy rate.
MIDF Research最近引述的新聞報道稱，歐洲央行將保持7月24日政策利率的利率現狀，消費者價格跌至2.5％，但核心利率保持在高位，這使人們對進一步削減借貸成本幾乎沒有信心。
However, the central bank may consider another cut in contingent upon core inflation rate registering lower than ECB expected in 2HCY24.
但是，央行可能會考慮再次下調，前提是核心通貨膨脹率低於歐洲央行在 2HCY24 中的預期。
Euro area's consumer inflation rate moderated to +2.5%yoy in Jun-24 (May-24: +2.6%yoy), conforming to market expectations.
歐元區的消費者通貨膨脹率在6月24日放緩至同比增長2.5％（5月24日：同比增長2.6％），符合市場預期。
Food inflation rate eased to +2.5%yoy, the lowest since Sep-21.
食品通貨膨脹率同比下降至+2.5％，爲9月21日以來的最低水平。
Energy price inched up by +0.2%yoy (May-24: +0.3%yoy).
能源價格同比上漲0.2％（5月24日：同比增長0.3％）。
Excluding volatile price items, core inflation rate was unchanged at +2.9%yoy, missed market projection of +2.8%yoy.
不包括價格波動的項目，核心通貨膨脹率保持不變，同比增長2.9％，未達到市場預期的同比增長2.8％。
On a month-on-month basis, overall price growth steadied at +0.2%mom while core inflation rose by +0.3%mom.
按月計算，整體價格環比增長穩定在+ 0.2％，而核心通貨膨脹率環比上漲+ 0.3％。
As of 1HCY24, average headline inflation rate and core inflation rate are +2.6% and +3.0% respectively.
截至 1HCY24，平均總體通貨膨脹率和核心通貨膨脹率分別爲+2.6％和+3.0％。
These figures are slightly lower but in tandem with ECB's forecast trajectory, +2.5% for headline and +2.8% for core in 2024, MIDF cited in a note today (July 3).
MIDF在今天（7月3日）的一份報告中援引，這些數字略低，但與歐洲央行的預測軌跡一致，2024年整體增長2.5％，核心增長2.8％。