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Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group (SZSE:300442) A Risky Investment?

Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group (SZSE:300442) A Risky Investment?

潤澤科技(SZSE:300442)是一個有風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  07/03 20:59

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited (SZSE:300442) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯曾經很好地說過,與其擔心股價波動,‘我所擔心的風險是永久損失的可能性……我知道的每個實踐投資者都擔心這個問題。’當你考慮一個公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉往往涉及負債。但關鍵問題是,這些負債是否會讓公司變得有風險。而深圳市潤澤科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300442)確實帶有負債。但是真正的問題是,這些負債是否會讓公司變得有風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無力償還債權人,那麼它就處於他們的緊缺之中。在資本主義的本質中,存在着「創造性破壞」的過程,失敗的企業會被銀行家所無情清算。這不太常見,但因貸款人強制使它們以低於市場價格的價格募集資本,我們經常看到負債企業永久稀釋股東。當然,有很多公司使用債務進行增長,沒有出現任何負面後果。當我們考慮一個公司對債務的使用時,我們首先會看現金和債務總額。

What Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's Debt?

深圳市潤澤科技股份有限公司的負債情況如何?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group had debt of CN¥11.0b, up from CN¥9.77b in one year. However, it does have CN¥2.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥8.58b.

下面的圖片,您可以單擊以獲得更詳細的信息,顯示2024年3月潤澤科技公司的債務爲110億人民幣,較去年的97.7億人民幣有所增加。但是,它確實有24.2億人民幣的現金抵消,從而導致淨債務約爲85.8億人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300442 Debt to Equity History July 4th 2024
SZSE:300442負債權益歷史記錄2024年7月4日

How Strong Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's Balance Sheet?

潤澤科技公司的資產負債表有多強大?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥4.26b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥13.0b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.42b in cash and CN¥1.39b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥13.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,潤澤科技公司的負債總額爲42.6億元人民幣,到期不超過一年,負債總額爲130億元人民幣。它有24.2億元人民幣的現金和13.9億元人民幣的應收賬款,這些應付賬款在12個月內到期。所以,它有總計134億元人民幣的負債,比其現金和短期應收賬款相加還多。

This deficit isn't so bad because Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group is worth CN¥40.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

這個缺口不算太糟糕,因爲潤澤科技公司價值400億元人民幣,因此如果需要,應該可以籌集足夠的資本來支持其資產負債表。但是,很明顯我們應該仔細研究它是否可以在不稀釋的情況下管理其債務。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來分析債務與收益之間的關係。第一個比率是淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,第二個比率是其利潤前利潤和稅(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出的次數(或其利息覆蓋比率)。這種方法的優點在於我們考慮到了債務的絕對數量(通過淨債務與EBITDA的比率),以及與這些債務相關的實際利息支出(通過其利息覆蓋比率)。

Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's net debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 21.0 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. It is well worth noting that Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 51% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

潤澤科技公司的淨債務爲其EBITDA的3.6倍,這是一個相當大但仍然合理的槓桿水平。然而,其21.0的利息覆蓋率非常高,表明目前債務利息相當低。值得注意的是,潤澤科技公司的EBIt在最近12個月中飆升了51%。這將使其更容易管理其債務。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯位置。但是,最終,決定潤澤科技公司是否能夠保持健康的資產負債表的將是未來的收益,而不是任何其他因素。所以,如果您想看看專業人士的看法,您可能會覺得有用的。可以看看這個自由報告,其中分析了分析師的利潤預測。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我們的最後考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用虛構的利潤支付債務;它需要真金白銀。所以,值得檢查這些EBIt後面支持的自由現金流的數量。在過去的三年中,潤澤科技公司總共看到了大量負面的自由現金流。儘管投資者無疑希望在適當的時候逆轉這種情況,但它確實意味着它的債務使用更加冒險。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .

根據我們所看到的,潤澤科技公司不容易將其EBIt轉化爲自由現金流,但我們考慮的其他因素給我們帶來了樂觀的原因。毫無疑問,它用其EBIt覆蓋其利息費用的能力相當卓越。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們確實對潤澤科技公司使用債務的做法有些謹慎。儘管債務在提高潛在回報方面具有優勢,但我們認爲,股東應該確實考慮債務水平可能使股票更加有風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要重點關注的領域。然而,總的來說,每個公司都可能存在超出資產負債表以外的風險。因此,您應該了解我們發現的3個警告標誌(其中2個並不符合我們的口味)潤澤科技公司。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

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