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Is Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor (SHSE:688439) A Risky Investment?

Is Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor (SHSE:688439) A Risky Investment?

貴州正華鳳光半導體(SHSE:688439)是一個高風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  07/03 21:24

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688439) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

一些人認爲,作爲投資者,波動性而非債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特著名地說過“波動性遠非風險的同義詞。” 當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡看一下它的債務使用情況,因爲債務負擔過重會導致滅頂之災。 我們可以看到,貴州振華風光半導體股份有限公司(SHSE:688439)確實在業務中使用了債務。 但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多少風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務在企業出現支付困難時,借新資本或自由現金流償還債務時,有助於企業的業務。 資本的一部分是資本主義的過程,即銀行家毫不留情地清算失敗的企業。 然而,更頻繁但仍然代價高昂的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久地稀釋股東的持股,以鋪平其資產負債表。 話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務--並從中受益。 考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看看現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor Carry?

貴州振華風光半導體負債多少?

As you can see below, Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor had CN¥84.8m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥105.2m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥2.38b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.30b.

正如您下面所看到的,2024年3月,貴州振華風光半導體負債8480萬元,低於前一年的10520萬元。 但是,它確實有23.8億元的現金抵消這一風險,從而導致其淨現金達到23億元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688439 Debt to Equity History July 4th 2024
SHSE:688439股債比歷史數據 2024年7月4日

How Healthy Is Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor's Balance Sheet?

貴州振華風光半導體資產負載情況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor had liabilities of CN¥542.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥115.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.38b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.74b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.46b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

從最新的資產負債表分析數據,我們可以看到,貴州振華風光半導體有54,250萬元的到期債務,在12個月內到期,而11570萬元的債務則超過了12個月。 抵消這些義務,它有23.8億元的現金以及在12個月內到期的應收賬款價值17.4億元。 因此,它可以聲稱比 負債。

It's good to see that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

可以看到,貴州振華風光半導體的資產負債表上有足夠的流動性,表明負債管理非常保守。 由於有充足的短期流動性,我們認爲公司不會遇到任何與貸款人方面的問題。 簡而言之,貴州振華風光半導體擁有的現金比債務多堪稱其可以安全地管理其債務的良好跡象。 除此之外,我們很高興地報道貴州振華風光半導體將其利潤之前的利潤增長了54%,從而減少了未來債務償還的威脅。

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has boosted its EBIT by 54%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

此外,我們很高興地報道貴州振華風光半導體將其EBIt提高了54%,從而減少了未來債務償還的威脅。 顯然,資產負債表是分析債務的關鍵領域。 但是,最終企業的未來盈利能力將決定貴州振華風光半導體能否逐漸增強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的盈利預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業只能用現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。 雖然貴州振華風光半導體的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得關注其將利潤之前的利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其正在以多快的速度建立(或侵蝕)現金儲備。 在過去的三年中,貴州振華風光半導體負自由現金流的風險已大幅下降。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor has net cash of CN¥2.30b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 54% over the last year. So is Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Guizhou Zhenhua Fengguang Semiconductor (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

雖然我們理解投資者所關注的債務問題,但您應該知道,貴州振華風光半導體有23億元的淨現金,而其流動資產遠遠超過流動負債。 同時,貴州振華風光半導體去年的EBIt增長達54%,給我們留下了深刻印象。 因此,貴州振華風光半導體的債務是否存在風險? 我們認爲不存在。 從資產負債表上可以了解債務信息,但並不是所有的投資風險都來自資產負債表。 爲此,您應該了解我們在貴州振華風光半導體中發現的2個警告信號(包括1個不可忽視的警告信號)。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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