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China Longyuan Power Group's (HKG:916) Returns Have Hit A Wall

China Longyuan Power Group's (HKG:916) Returns Have Hit A Wall

龍源電力集團(HKG:916)的回報率已經觸及瓶頸。
Simply Wall St ·  07/04 23:56

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating China Longyuan Power Group (HKG:916), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

你是否知道,一些財務指標可以提供潛在的多倍投資機會的線索?理想情況下,一個企業將顯示兩個趨勢;首先是資本投入的增長。如果你看到這個,通常意味着這是一家擁有優秀商業模式和充足利潤再投資機會的公司。然而,經過簡要的數字分析後,我們認爲柯力傳感(寧波)股份有限公司(SHSE:603662)未來不具備成爲多倍投資機會的條件,但讓我們看看爲什麼。資產回報率:它是什麼?資本使用率回報(ROCE)是什麼?ROCE 趨勢可以告訴我們什麼?比起 Enphase Energy,有更好的資本回報率選擇。在過去的五年中,該公司增加了 1,306% 的資本,而該資本的回報率保持穩定在 9.9%。這樣差的回報率現在並不令人信服,而且隨着資本的增加,很明顯企業並沒有將資金投入到高回報的投資中。這表明它是一臺複合機器,能夠持續地將其收益重新投資到業務中併產生更高的回報。然而,經過調查,我們認爲中國龍源電力集團(HKG:916)的當前趨勢並不符合多倍增長的模式。

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

我們對 Enphase Energy 的資本僱用回報率的看法:正如我們上面看到的,Enphase Energy 的資本回報率沒有提高,但它正在重新投資於業務。投資者必須認爲未來會有更好的前景,因爲股票表現良好,使持股五年以上的股東獲得了 690% 的收益。最終,如果基本趨勢持續存在,我們不會對它成爲一隻多頭股持有期很久很有信心。

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for China Longyuan Power Group, this is the formula:

對於那些不確定ROCE是什麼的人來說,它衡量公司可以從其業務中使用的資本創造的稅前利潤的數量。要爲中國龍源電力集團計算此指標,可以使用以下公式:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

資產僱用回報率(ROCE)是指企業利潤,即企業稅前利潤除以企業投入的總資本(負債加股權)。如果ROCE高於企業財務成本的承受能力,那麼企業就會創造出更多的價值。

0.084 = CN¥14b ÷ (CN¥237b - CN¥72b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

0.084 = CN¥140億 ÷ (CN¥2370億 - CN¥72b)在Elevance Health上,我們已經注意到的趨勢是相當令人放心的。數據顯示,過去五年資產回報率大幅提高至15%。投資所用資產的規模也增加了30%。這表明有很多機會進行內部資本投資,並以更高的速度不斷增長,這種組合在多倍增長方面很常見。.

So, China Longyuan Power Group has an ROCE of 8.4%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 7.0% generated by the Renewable Energy industry, it's much better.

因此,龍源電力集團的ROCE爲8.4%。 單獨看這個回報率很低,但與可再生能源行業平均7.0%的回報率相比,它要好得多。

roce
SEHK:916 Return on Capital Employed July 5th 2024
SEHK:916資本僱用回報率2024年7月5日

Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Longyuan Power Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering China Longyuan Power Group for free.

您可以看到中國龍源電力集團目前的ROCE與其以前的資本回報率的比較情況,但從過去看到的只有那麼多。如果您願意,可以免費查看分析師對中國龍源電力集團的預測。

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

儘管如此,當我們看 enphase energy (納斯達克股票代碼:ENPH) 的時候,它似乎並沒有完全符合這些要求。

In terms of China Longyuan Power Group's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 8.4% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 50% in that time. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

就中國龍源電力集團的歷史ROCE趨勢而言,它並沒有引起特別的注意。該公司在過去五年中一直保持8.4%的收益率,並且業務中使用的資本在此期間增加了50%。鑑於企業增加了使用的資本量,似乎所做的投資僅提供了較低的資本回報率。

What We Can Learn From China Longyuan Power Group's ROCE

我們可以從中國龍源電力集團的ROCE中學到什麼?

As we've seen above, China Longyuan Power Group's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 66% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

正如我們上面看到的,中國龍源電力集團的資本回報率並沒有增加,但是它正在重新投資於業務中。雖然市場可能希望這些趨勢會改善,因爲該股在過去五年中上漲了66%。然而,除非這些基本趨勢變得更加積極,否則我們不應抱太高的期望。

If you'd like to know more about China Longyuan Power Group, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

如果您想了解更多關於中國龍源電力集團的信息,我們已經發現了2個警告信號,其中一個讓我們有點不安。

While China Longyuan Power Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

雖然中國龍源電力集團的回報率並不是最高的,但請查看此免費的公司列表,這些公司具有良好的資產負債表並盈利良好。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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