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It's Down 26% But Hope Life International Holdings Limited (HKG:1683) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

It's Down 26% But Hope Life International Holdings Limited (HKG:1683) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

雖然已經下跌了26%,但Hope Life International Holdings Limited(HKG:1683)可能比看起來更有風險。
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 02:02

The Hope Life International Holdings Limited (HKG:1683) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 72% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, it would be understandable if you think Hope Life International Holdings is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.3x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Consumer Services industry have P/S ratios above 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1683 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 5th 2024

How Has Hope Life International Holdings Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Hope Life International Holdings has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hope Life International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hope Life International Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 54% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 159% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Hope Life International Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

The southerly movements of Hope Life International Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We're very surprised to see Hope Life International Holdings currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hope Life International Holdings you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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