share_log

We Think Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery (SHSE:605286) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery (SHSE:605286) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲江蘇通力日盛機械(SHSE:605286)可以保持其債務的優勢。
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 18:08

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605286) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的負債使用情況,因爲負債過多可能會導致毀滅。我們注意到江蘇同力日盛機械股份有限公司(SHSE:605286)在其資產負債表上確實有負債。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否會使公司變得有風險。 Howard Marks很好地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股價波動,‘我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性……而我認識的每一位實際投資者都會擔心。'

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕鬆通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來履行欠債時,債務和其他負債對企業會產生風險。如果事情變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以控制企業。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它必須在低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,對於企業而言,債務可以是一個重要的工具,特別是對於資本密集型的企業。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,我們首先考慮現金和債務總額。

What Is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's Net Debt?

江蘇同力日盛機械的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery had debt of CN¥171.8m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥240.0m over a year. However, it does have CN¥658.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥487.1m.

下面的圖像(單擊可放大)顯示江蘇同力日盛機械於2024年3月底負債爲1.718億元人民幣,較去年降低了2400萬元人民幣。然而,它確實有6589萬元人民幣的現金抵消這一點,從而產生淨現金爲4.871億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:605286 Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024
SHSE:605286股權負債比歷史數據2024年7月5日

How Strong Is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's Balance Sheet?

江蘇同力日盛機械的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery had liabilities of CN¥1.57b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥74.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥658.9m in cash and CN¥1.18b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥196.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新資產負債表數據,我們可以看到江蘇同力日盛機械有157億元人民幣的負債在12個月內到期,7490萬元人民幣的負債超過12個月到期。與此相抵銷的是,它有6,589萬元人民幣的現金和11.8億元人民幣的應收賬款,在12個月內到期。因此,它實際上有1960萬元人民幣淨現金。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This surplus suggests that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這一盈餘表明江蘇同力日盛機械有穩健的資產負債表,可能很容易消除其債務。簡而言之,江蘇同力日盛機械擁有的現金多於債務的事實,可以認爲是它能夠安全管理債務的良好跡象。

Even more impressive was the fact that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery grew its EBIT by 113% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

更令人印象深刻的是,江蘇同力日盛機械在12個月內將其EBIt提高了113%。這一增長將使它更容易償還未來的債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解到了關於債務的大部分信息。但江蘇同力日盛機械的收益將影響資產負債表在未來的情況。因此,如果您想更多地了解其收益情況,不妨查看其長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery created free cash flow amounting to 11% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最後,公司只能用現金來償還債務,而非會計利潤。江蘇同力日盛機械可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但看看公司將其利潤(利息和稅前利潤)轉換爲自由現金流的能力是很有趣的,因爲這會影響到公司的債務管理需求和能力。在過去的三年中,江蘇同力日盛機械創造了相當於其EBIt的11%的自由現金流,這是一個令人失望的表現。對我們而言,低現金轉換率會讓人對其償還債務的能力產生一些擔憂。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has net cash of CN¥487.1m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 113% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

儘管我們理解投資者對債務的擔憂,但您應該記住,江蘇通力日升機械有淨現金48710萬元,以及比負債更多的流動資產。還有,我們喜歡去年113%的環比EBIT增長。因此,我們不認爲江蘇通力日升機械使用債務存在風險。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始控件。然而,並非所有投資風險都在資產負債表內部——而遠非如此。例如——江蘇通力日升機械有1個警告信號,我們認爲您應該注意到。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論