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Is Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd (SHSE:603297) A Risky Investment?

Is Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd (SHSE:603297) A Risky Investment?

寧波永新光學股份有限公司(SHSE: 603297)是否是一個高風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 19:20

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Ningbo Yongxin Optics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603297) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

當David Iben說‘波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。’時,他說得很好。當你審查風險時,考慮一家公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲一個公司倒閉時往往與債務有關。重要的是,寧波永新光學股份有限公司(SHSE:603297)確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司變得更加不穩定。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業不能輕鬆履行負債的義務時,債務和其他負債變得具有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是以優惠價格籌集資本。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人就可以控制企業。然而,一個更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業不得不以低廉的價格募集新股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,債務的優點是,它通常代表便宜的本金,尤其是在以高回報率進行再投資的能力替代稀釋的公司中。考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的就是查看它的現金和債務。

What Is Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd's Debt?

寧波永新光學股份有限公司(Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd)的債務情況是什麼?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd had CN¥40.0m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥939.8m in cash, so it actually has CN¥899.8m net cash.

下面的圖表顯示,寧波永新光學股份有限公司在2024年3月負債4000萬元左右,與前一年大致相同。然而,其資產負債表顯示,其持有人民幣93980萬元的現金,因此其淨現金爲人民幣89980萬元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603297 Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024
SHSE:603297的負債權益歷史記錄於2024年7月5日。

A Look At Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd's Liabilities

看一下寧波永新光學股份有限公司的負債:

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd had liabilities of CN¥214.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥26.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥939.8m in cash and CN¥230.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥929.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近披露的資產負債表,寧波永新光學股份有限公司的短期負債爲人民幣21400萬元,長期負債爲人民幣2660萬元。與此相抵,它有人民幣93980萬元的現金和人民幣23020萬元的應收款項,這些款項在12個月內到期。因此,它可以聲稱擁有比債務多人民幣92940萬元的流動資產。負債。

This surplus suggests that Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種剩餘資產表明寧波永新光學股份有限公司有保守的資產負債表,並且可能很容易消除其債務。總之,寧波永新光學股份有限公司擁有比債務更多的現金,這無疑是這家公司能夠安全管理債務的一個很好的表現。如果您想了解專業人士的觀點,您可能會發現分析師盈利預測免費報告有趣。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 24% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理層無法阻止寧波永新光學股份有限公司在過去一年中的EBIt下降24%,那麼公司的債務負擔的適度性可能變得至關重要。當公司的收入大幅下降時,有時可能會發現公司與其債權人的關係變得糟糕。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解最多的是債務方面。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定寧波永新光學股份有限公司是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd's free cash flow amounted to 34% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,公司只能用實實在在的現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。儘管寧波永新光學股份有限公司在其資產負債表中有淨現金,但我們仍然值得關注其將利潤前利息、稅項(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,這將有助於我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。在過去三年中,寧波永新光學股份有限公司的自由現金流佔其EBIt的比例爲34%,低於我們的預期。這種較弱的現金轉換使得處理債務更加困難。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd has CN¥899.8m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然調查一家公司的債務狀況總是明智的,但在這種情況下,寧波永新光學股份有限公司有人民幣89980萬元的淨現金和一個看起來不錯的資產負債表。因此,我們對寧波永新光學股份有限公司的債務使用沒有困擾。毫無疑問,我們了解債務問題的大部分信息都來源於資產負債表。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表之中。例如,我們發現了2個對於寧波永新光學股份有限公司的警告信號(其中一個有點令人擔憂!)您在此之前應該知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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