share_log

Tesla Bear Shrugs Off 40% Run-up As 'Meme-Like' Rally: 'Valuation Is Disconnected From The Fundamentals'

Tesla Bear Shrugs Off 40% Run-up As 'Meme-Like' Rally: 'Valuation Is Disconnected From The Fundamentals'

特斯拉熊市在40%的漲幅中袖手旁觀,認爲這是'模因式'行情:'估值脫離基本面'。
Benzinga ·  07/09 02:26

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) continued to push higher and completed a nine-session run on Monday and the strong gains have left bearish analysts even more uncomfortable with the company's rising valuation.

特斯拉股票(NASDAQ:TSLA)週一繼續上漲,並完成了連續9個交易日的上漲,強勁的漲勢讓看淡的分析師對公司不斷上漲的市值感到更加不適。

What Happened: Tesla is clearly riding the momentum of better-than-feared second-quarter deliveries number but it should be noted that sales were down 5% year-over-year in the June quarter on top of the 9% drop in the previous, said Bernstein analyst Tony Sacconaghi in an interview with CNBC.

發生了什麼:特斯拉顯然正乘着令人滿意的第二季度交付數據的勢頭前行,但伯恩斯坦分析師託尼·薩科納吉在接受CNBC採訪時指出,在6月季度銷售下跌9%的基礎上,同比下降了5%。

$TSLA analyst Toni Sacconaghi on shares of the EV maker:
"We could continue to see some momentum in the stock, but this is meme-like, quite frankly. The valuation is disconnected from the fundamentals." pic.twitter.com/5d85RK2JGa

— Squawk Box (@SquawkCNBC) July 8, 2024

$TSLA分析師託尼·薩科納吉(Toni Sacconaghi)對電動汽車製造商的股票的看法:
“我們可能會繼續看到股價的一些上漲,但這很像模因,坦率地說。股票的估值與公司的基本面脫節了。” pic.twitter.com/5d85RK2JGa

— CNBC(@SquawkCNBC)2024年7月8日

The stock is trading at 125 times earnings, the analyst said, adding that there is anticipation things may get a little better but  they are still not good. The analyst sees the momentum continuing into the robotaxi event scheduled for Aug. 8.

該股票的市盈率爲125倍,分析師稱,雖然有預期事情可能會稍微好一些,但仍然不是很好。分析師認爲這種勢頭會持續到8月8日預定的無人駕駛出租車活動。

"This is meme-like quite frankly. The valuation is disconnected from the fundamentals," Sacconaghi said. The stock is supposed to earn $7 in earnings this year but consensus estimates are now $2, he added.

“實際上這很像模因。估值與公司的基本面脫節了,”薩科納吉說。他補充說,股票預計今年將獲得7美元的收益,但共識估計現在是2美元。

"It's really about enthusiasm that things may get better and that Tesla may say something really exciting at its robotaxi announcement."

“這主要是因爲熱情,即人們可能會覺得情況會變得更好,特斯拉在其出租車發佈會上可能會發布令人興奮的消息。”

"But at the end of the day, stocks get measured on cash flows and future cash flows and we just see a disconnect between what that earnings and cash flow of power is in the company's current share price."

“但歸根結底,股票的衡量標準是現金流和未來現金流,我們只看到該公司當前股價中該收益和現金流的脫節。”

Why It's Important: Tesla shares have come back strongly from an extended lean patch amid expectations that the auto business' fundamentals may have bottomed out and confidence in some of its ancillary businesses.

爲什麼它很重要:特斯拉股票在一段時間的低迷期後強勢反彈,預計汽車業務的基本面可能已經觸底,並對其某些附屬業務充滿信心。

The second-quarter outperformance relative to estimates was achieved on the back of easy financing options made available to buyers. It remains to be seen if delivery growth will resume in the coming quarters.

第二季度相對於估計表現出色,得益於爲買家提供了易融資選項。目前還不清楚交付增長是否會在未來幾個季度恢復。

Future Fund's Gary Black said over the weekend that Tesla should separately report metrics for its AI & robotics business in order for portfolio managers to include the business in their valuation models. Tesla bull Cathie Wood-run Ark Invest's new valuation framework announced last month shows the bulk of revenue, EBITDA, and valuation coming from the robotaxi business.

Future Fund的Gary Black上週末表示,特斯拉應該分別報告其AI和機器人業務的指標,以便投資組合經理將其業務納入其估值模型之中。由Cathie Wood創辦的牛市投資管理公司Ark Invest於上個月宣佈的新估值框架顯示,機器人出租車業務佔據了大部分營業收入、息稅折舊攤銷前利潤和估值。

Tesla ended Monday's session up 0.56% at $252.94, according to Benzinga Pro data. Since June 25, when the recent rally began, the stock has gained 38.5%. It is up 1.8% so far this year.

據Benzinga Pro數據,特斯拉週一收盤漲0.56%,收於252.94美元。自6月25日牛市開始以來,該股已上漲38.5%。今年迄今爲止,漲幅爲1.8%。

Check out more of Benzinga's Future Of Mobility coverage by following this link.

通過以下鏈接查看更多財經新聞《Benzinga智庫:移動出行未來》

  • Tesla Bull Says EV Giant's FSD Revenue Nearing $1B Annual Run-Rate, Urges Breaking Out AI And Robotics Numbers]

  • 特斯拉牛市表示,該公司全自動駕駛(FSD)收入接近10億美元的年運行率,並敦促分離AI和機器人數字數據。

Photo via Shutterstock

圖片來自shutterstock。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論