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Further Weakness as Kennedy-Wilson Holdings (NYSE:KW) Drops 4.2% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 39%

Further Weakness as Kennedy-Wilson Holdings (NYSE:KW) Drops 4.2% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 39%

隨着肯尼迪威爾遜控股公司(紐交所:KW)本週下跌4.2%,五年來的損失達39%,進一步走軟。
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 08:05

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:KW) share price up 13% in a single quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 54% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

股價在一個季度內上漲13%,雖然對某些股東來說可能不足夠,但我們認爲這是好事。但在過去的五年裏,這隻股票表現不佳。畢竟,在這段時間內,股價下跌了54%,遠遠不如市場表現。

After losing 4.2% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在失去了4.2%之後的這個星期,值得調查公司的基本面,以了解我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

目前,肯納迪-威爾遜控股公司(NYSE:KW)沒有盈利,因此大多數分析師會尋找營收增長,以了解其基礎業務增長速度快慢。虧損公司的股東通常希望有強勁的營收增長。一些公司願意推遲盈利以加快收入增長,但在這種情況下,人們希望有良好的營收增長來彌補缺乏收益的不足。在過去五年中,肯納迪-威爾遜控股的營收年均下降3.3%。雖然這遠非災難性,但仍不夠好。由於該公司虧損,收入趨勢不佳,股價在五年內累計下跌9%。這隻股票的投資者熱情似乎不如Louise Brooks美麗。並不是許多投資者喜歡投資於虧損且收入不增的公司。

In the last five years Kennedy-Wilson Holdings saw its revenue shrink by 3.3% per year. While far from catastrophic that is not good. The share price decline of 9% compound, over five years, is understandable given the company is losing money, and revenue is moving in the wrong direction. The chance of imminent investor enthusiasm for this stock seems slimmer than Louise Brooks. Not that many investors like to invest in companies that are losing money and not growing revenue.

在考慮任何給定股票的股價回報和總股東回報時,總股東回報是很重要的。TSR是一個計算回報的公式,它考慮了現金股息的價值(假設任何收到的股息都被再投資)以及任何折扣的資本增發和分拆的價值。可以說,TSR給出了一幅更全面的股票回報圖。我們注意到,肯納迪-威爾遜控股過去5年的TSR爲-39%,比上述股價回報好。而且毫無疑問,分紅派息在很大程度上解釋了這種差距!

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

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NYSE:KW Earnings and Revenue Growth July 11th 2024
紐交所:KW收益和營收增長2024年7月11日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們喜歡內部人在過去12個月內購買股票。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和營收增長趨勢是業務的更有意義的指導。因此,我們建議查看此免費報告以顯示共識預測。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Kennedy-Wilson Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was -39%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報和股價回報都很重要。 TSR是一個回報計算公式,它考慮了現金股息的價值(假設任何收到的股息都被再投資)以及任何折扣的資本增發和分拆的價值。可以說,TSR給出了一幅更全面的股票回報圖。我們注意到,肯納迪-威爾遜控股公司過去5年的TSR爲-39%,比上述股價回報好。而且毫無疑問,分紅派息在很大程度上解釋了這種差距!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings shareholders are down 40% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 25%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Kennedy-Wilson Holdings (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管包括股息,肯納迪-威爾遜控股的股東今年虧損了40%,但市場本身上漲了25%。即使股票價格下跌,我們也希望看到企業基本業務指標的改善才會更感興趣。可悔的是,去年的表現標誌着一個糟糕的狀況,股東在過去五年中面臨着總損失7%的情況。我們意識到,巴倫·羅斯柴爾德(Baron Rothschild)曾經說過,投資者應該在“街頭有血”時購買股票,但我們警告投資者首先要確定他們正在購買高質量的業務。 雖然考慮市場條件可以對股票價格產生不同的影響,但其他因素更加重要。例如,我們發現了3個肯納迪-威爾遜控股公司的警示信號(2個不應忽略!),在此之前投資時應該注意這些信號。

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

肯納迪-威爾遜控股公司不是唯一的內部人員正在購買的股票。對於那些想要找到較少知名公司的人,最近有內部交易的成長型公司的免費列表可能會更好。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關注內容?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋? 對內容感到擔憂? 請直接與我們聯繫。 或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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