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We Think Quaker Chemical (NYSE:KWR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Quaker Chemical (NYSE:KWR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲Quaker Chemical(紐交所:KWR)可以繼續控制其債務。
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 13:00

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Quaker Chemical Corporation (NYSE:KWR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯在談到股價波動時,說得非常好:‘我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性……我認識的每一個實際投資者都會擔心。’ 當您考慮一個公司的風險程度時,自然要考慮其資產負債表,因爲當企業崩潰時,往往涉及債務。重要的是,Quaker Chemical Corporation (NYSE:KWR)確實帶着債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否會讓公司變得更加冒險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來輕鬆履行債務義務時,債務和其他負債會對企業構成風險。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,即銀行家無情地清算破產的企業。但更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以便控制債務。當然,負債的好處在於它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它代替公司具有以高回報率重新投資的能力時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先關注現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Quaker Chemical Carry?

Quaker Chemical承載多少債務?

As you can see below, Quaker Chemical had US$768.2m of debt at March 2024, down from US$940.9m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$195.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$572.4m.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,Quaker Chemical負債768.2百萬美元,較去年同期的940.9百萬美元減少。然而,由於其有1,958百萬美元的現金儲備,因此淨債務較少,約爲5,724百萬美元。

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NYSE:KWR Debt to Equity History July 11th 2024
NYSE:KWR股本負債比歷史數據2024年7月11日

A Look At Quaker Chemical's Liabilities

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看出,Quaker Chemical負有3,502百萬美元的一年內到期負債,而超過這個期限的負債爲9,724百萬美元。之後,它擁有價值1,958百萬美元的現金和價值4,400百萬美元的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過了其現金和(短期的)應收賬款的總和,達到了6,868百萬美元的規模。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Quaker Chemical had liabilities of US$350.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$972.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$195.8m as well as receivables valued at US$440.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$686.8m.

這裏也不算虧損過多,因爲Quaker Chemical的價值爲2.99億美元,因此如果需要,可能會籌集到足夠的資本來支持其資產負債表。但我們肯定要睜大眼睛,看看是否有跡象表明其債務帶來了過多的風險。

This deficit isn't so bad because Quaker Chemical is worth US$2.99b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

Quaker Chemical的淨債務是其EBITDA的1.9倍,負擔能力非常合理,而其EBIT去年僅覆蓋了4.6倍利息開支。雖然這不會給我們帶來太多擔憂,但這表明利息開支仍然是一個比較重的負擔。此外,Quaker Chemical在過去的一年中,將EBIT增長了26%,從而提高了償還債務的能力。當您分析債務時,肯定要着重關注資產負債表。但最終,企業未來的盈利能力將決定Quaker Chemical是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此免費報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。

Quaker Chemical's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.9 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.6 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Also relevant is that Quaker Chemical has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 26% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Quaker Chemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最後,一家公司只能用現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。因此,我們必須清楚地看看是否EBIT導致相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,Quaker Chemical記錄了價值57%的EBIT的自由現金流,這在正常情況下是可以的,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅費。這種自由現金流將使公司處於良好的償付債務的地位。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Quaker Chemical recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Quaker Chemical的EBIT增長率表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo向14歲的門將打進一個進球一樣輕鬆地應對其債務。它從EBIT到自由現金流的轉換也很好。綜合考慮所有這些因素,Quaker Chemical似乎可以輕鬆應對其當前的債務水平。另一方面,負債槓桿可以增加股東回報率,但潛在的缺點則是更多的損失風險,因此值得監控該資產負債表。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點。但最終,每個公司都可能存在超出資產負債表以外的風險。例如,我們已經識別出Quaker Chemical的1個警告標誌需要您注意。

Our View

我們的觀點

Quaker Chemical's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is good too. All these things considered, it appears that Quaker Chemical can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Quaker Chemical that you should be aware of.

昆泰化工的EBIt增長速度表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo一樣輕鬆處理其債務,就像他可以進一個14歲以下門將的球門一樣。它的EBIt轉換爲自由現金流也不錯。綜合考慮所有這些因素,昆泰化工似乎可以輕鬆處理當前的債務水平。從正面看,這種槓桿作用可以提高股東回報率,但潛在的缺陷是更高的虧損風險,因此值得關注資產負債表。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每個公司都可能包含超出資產負債表範圍的風險。例如,我們已經發現昆泰化工的1個警告信號,您應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

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