China Automotive Engineering Research Institute's (SHSE:601965) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the Strong Shareholder Returns
China Automotive Engineering Research Institute's (SHSE:601965) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the Strong Shareholder Returns
When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For instance, the price of China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601965) stock is up an impressive 156% over the last five years. And in the last week the share price has popped 8.5%. This could be related to the recent financial results, released less than a week ago -- you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.
購買股票時,總有可能跌幅達到100%。但好消息是,在一支好股票上,你可以獲得遠高於100%的回報。比如中國汽車工程研究院股份有限公司(SHSE: 601965)的股價在過去5年中上漲了令人矚目的156%。而在上週,股價更是上漲了8.5%。這可能與不到一週前發佈的最新財務數據有關——你可以通過閱讀我們的公司報告來了解最新數據。
Since the stock has added CN¥1.4b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由於該股在過去一個星期內市值增加了人民幣14億,讓我們看看背後的業務績效是否推動了長期回報。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
市場有時候是有效的,但價格並不總是反映公司的基本業務表現。通過比較每股收益和股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的看法如何隨着時間變化而變化。
During five years of share price growth, China Automotive Engineering Research Institute achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 15% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 21% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在股價增長的五年中,中國汽研的每股收益(EPS)複合增長率達到了15%。然而,與同期的21%的股價增長相比,這一EPS增長速度較慢。這表明當今市場參與者對該公司寄予更高的期望,這並不令人驚訝,因爲公司的成長業績值得期待。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間的變化情況(如果您單擊該圖像,則可以查看更多詳細信息)。
We know that China Automotive Engineering Research Institute has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think China Automotive Engineering Research Institute will grow revenue in the future.
我們知道,中國汽車工程研究院最近改善了其底線,但它會增加收入嗎?請檢查分析師是否認爲中國汽車工程研究院在未來會增加收入。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of China Automotive Engineering Research Institute, it has a TSR of 176% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股票回報率之外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報 (TSR)。TSR包括任何分拆或折價融資的價值以及任何分紅,基於分紅會被再投資的假設。可以說,TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。在中國汽車工程研究院的情況下,它在過去5年中的TSR爲176%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報率。這主要是由於其分紅支付所致!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
We regret to report that China Automotive Engineering Research Institute shareholders are down 21% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 17%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 23%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Automotive Engineering Research Institute has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
不幸的是,中國汽研的股東們一年來已經虧損了21%,甚至包括分紅派息在內。不幸的是,這比整個市場下跌17%還糟糕。話雖如此,在一個下跌的市場中,某些股票將被過度拋售是不可避免的。關鍵是要關注基本面的發展。長期的投資者不會感到那麼沮喪,因爲他們每年都可以獲得23%的回報,長達五年。最近的拋售可能是一個好機會,因此值得檢查基本數據,看是否有長期增長趨勢的跡象。儘管考慮市場環境對股價的影響是值得的,但還有更重要的因素。例如,要冒一定的風險-中國汽研有1個我們認爲您應該注意的警告信號。
But note: China Automotive Engineering Research Institute may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:中國汽研可能不是最好的購買股票的選擇。因此,請查看此免費清單中過去收益增長(和未來增長預測)的有趣公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。