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Does Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd (SHSE:600123) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd (SHSE:600123) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

山西證券供股藍花科技投資有限公司(SHSE:600123)是否擁有健康的資產負債表?
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 22:06

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech Venture Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600123) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Berkshire Hathaway的Charlie Munger支持的外部基金經理Li Lu毫不避諱地說,'最大的投資風險不是價格波動性,而是你是否會遭受資本永久損失。' 當你檢查企業如何冒險時,考慮到公司的資產負債表是再自然不過的事情了,因爲公司倒閉往往涉及債務。重要的是,山西蘭花科創股份有限公司(SHSE: 600123)確實負債。但是股東們應該擔心它的負債使用嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌資是一個企業難以滿足債務等責任時,債務和其他負債變得有風險。創業板的一部分是'創造性破壞'的過程,銀行家殘酷地清算失敗的企業。然而,更常見的(但仍然痛苦)情況是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東的權益。當然,負債的好處在於,它經常代表廉價資本,特別是當它以高回報率的再投資能力取代稀釋的公司時。當我們考慮公司的負債使用情況時,我們首先查看現金和債務總額。

What Is Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd's Net Debt?

山西蘭花科創股份有限公司的淨債務是什麼?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd had CN¥9.42b of debt, up from CN¥8.49b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥6.12b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥3.30b.

正如下面所示,2024年3月底,山西蘭花科創股份有限公司的債務總額爲942億元人民幣,高於一年前的849億元人民幣。點擊圖像了解更多詳情。然而,它也有612億元人民幣的現金,因此它的淨債務爲330億元人民幣。

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SHSE:600123 Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024
SHSE:600123債務股本比歷史記錄2024年7月12日

How Strong Is Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd's Balance Sheet?

山西蘭花科創股份有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd had liabilities of CN¥9.54b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.41b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.12b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.68b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥8.15b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到山西蘭花科創股份有限公司於12個月內有954億元人民幣的到期負債和641億元人民幣的超期負債。抵消這些義務,它有612億元人民幣的現金,以及價值168億元人民幣的12個月內的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多815億元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥12.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

相對於其市值127億元人民幣,這個赤字是相當可觀的,因此它確實說明了山西蘭花科創股份有限公司的債務使用情況應該受到股東的關注。這表明,如果公司需要迅速加固其資產負債表,股東們將遭受嚴重稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了評估公司的債務與收益的關係,我們計算淨債務除以息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),以及利息費用除以息稅前利潤(EBIT)(其利息覆蓋率)。這種方法的優點是我們同時考慮到債務的絕對量(以淨債務/EBITDA計算),以及與債務相關的實際利息費用(以利息覆蓋率計算)。

Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.86. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 4k times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 47% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

山西蘭花科創股份有限公司的淨債務/稅息折舊及攤銷前利潤比率爲僅0.86。而且它的稅息前利潤/利息開支的覆蓋率高達0.4萬倍。因此,我們對它超級保守的債務使用感到非常放鬆。如果管理層無法阻止過去一年的EBIt減少47%,其負債負擔的適度性可能對山西蘭花科創股份有限公司至關重要。萎縮的盈利(如果趨勢繼續下去)最終可能會使即使是適度的負債變得非常有風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定山西蘭花科創股份有限公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想看看專業人士的想法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,一家公司只能用冰冷的現金而不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們顯然需要查看EBIt是否導致相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,山西蘭花科技風險股份有限公司記錄了價值86% EBIt的自由現金流,這比我們通常預期的要更強。這將使其處於非常強的償還債務的位置。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanxi Lanhua Sci-Tech VentureLtd you should know about.

根據我們所看到的,山西蘭花科創股份有限公司在考慮到其EBIt增長率時並不容易,但是我們考慮到的其他因素使我們有理由樂觀。毫無疑問,它以EBIt支付利息的能力是相當棒的。當我們考慮以上提到的所有因素時,我們確實對山西蘭花科創股份有限公司的債務使用存在一定的謹慎。雖然我們欣賞債務能夠增強股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免增加。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現山西蘭花科創股份有限公司的2個警告信號,您應該知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

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