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Zhejiang Jingu Company Limited's (SZSE:002488) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Zhejiang Jingu Company Limited's (SZSE:002488) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

金固股份有限公司(SZSE:002488)的財務數據過於模糊,難以與當前股價動能聯繫起來:該股票的前景如何?
Simply Wall St ·  07/12 00:51

Zhejiang Jingu's (SZSE:002488) stock is up by a considerable 12% over the past week. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Zhejiang Jingu's ROE today.

浙江金固(SZSE:002488)的股票在過去一週裏上漲了相當可觀的12%。但我們想知道該公司不一致的財務狀況是否會對當前股價勢頭產生不利影響。特別是,今天我們將關注浙江金固的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE,即淨資產收益率,測試一家公司有效增加價值和管理股東資金的能力。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Jingu is:

因此,基於上述公式,浙江金固的roe爲:

1.4% = CN¥58m ÷ CN¥4.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

1.4%=CN¥5800萬÷CN¥42億(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.01 in profit.

「回報」是每年的利潤。 一個概念化這一點的方法是,對於每1元股東資本,公司的利潤爲0.01元。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一個指標。我們現在需要評估公司再投資或「保留」未來增長的利潤量,以此給我們提供公司增長潛力的想法。假設其他所有因素保持不變,ROE和利潤保留率越高,相比不具備這些特徵的公司,這些公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Zhejiang Jingu's Earnings Growth And 1.4% ROE

浙江金固盈利增長與1.4%roe對比

It is quite clear that Zhejiang Jingu's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 8.2%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Zhejiang Jingu's five year net income decline of 15% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很明顯,浙江金固的roe相當低。即使與行業平均水平8.2%相比,roe數據也令人失望。因此,鑑於其較低的roe,浙江金固五年的淨利潤下降15%也就不足爲奇了。我們認爲,這裏可能還存在其他因素。例如,公司的派息比率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。

However, when we compared Zhejiang Jingu's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 8.7% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將浙江金固的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現雖然該公司的盈利正在收縮,但行業在同一時期實現了8.7%的盈利增長。這非常令人擔憂。

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SZSE:002488 Past Earnings Growth July 12th 2024
SZSE:002488過去的盈利增長於2024年7月12日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhejiang Jingu is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者了解市場是否將公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)價格合理化很重要。這有助於他們判斷股票是否具有光明或黯淡的未來。期望盈利增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它基於股票的收益前景確定市場願意支付的價格。因此,您可能需要查看浙江金固是否以高於行業水平的市盈率或低於行業水平的市盈率交易。

Is Zhejiang Jingu Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

浙江金固有效地再投資其利潤嗎?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (that is, a retention ratio of 68%), the fact that Zhejiang Jingu's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管正常的三年中位數派息比率爲32%(即保留比率爲68%),但浙江金固的利潤收縮事實仍然令人困惑。因此,在這方面可能還存在其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Moreover, Zhejiang Jingu has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,浙江金固已經連續十年或更長時間支付派息,表明管理層必須認爲股東更喜歡股息而不是盈利增長。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Zhejiang Jingu. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Zhejiang Jingu by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們對浙江金固有着複雜的感情。雖然該公司具有高比率的再投資率,但低roe意味着所有的再投資並沒有給其投資者帶來任何利益,而且對盈利增長產生了負面影響。總之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看該業務的風險概況。您可以在我們的平台上免費查看我們爲浙江金固確定的3種風險。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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