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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Personalis, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PSNL) 28% Share Price Climb

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Personalis, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PSNL) 28% Share Price Climb

個人定製公司Personalis, Inc.(納斯達克代碼:PSNL)28%股票上漲,有一塊拼圖缺失了
Simply Wall St ·  07/12 06:12

Personalis, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSNL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 22% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Personalis' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Life Sciences industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.3x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

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NasdaqGM:PSNL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 12th 2024

What Does Personalis' Recent Performance Look Like?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Personalis has been doing quite well of late. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to follow the rest of the industry downwards, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Personalis.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Personalis?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Personalis would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.0%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 7.7% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.8% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Personalis is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What Does Personalis' P/S Mean For Investors?

Even after such a strong price move, Personalis' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

A look at Personalis' revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Personalis you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Personalis' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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