US Consumer Morale Dips More Than Expected In July: Sentiment 'Remains Stubbornly Subdued'
US Consumer Morale Dips More Than Expected In July: Sentiment 'Remains Stubbornly Subdued'
Preliminary estimates from the University of Michigan revealed that U.S. consumer confidence has declined more rapidly than anticipated in July, hitting its lowest level since November 2023.
密歇根大學的初步估計顯示，美國消費者信心在7月份下降得比預期更快，達到2023年11月以來的最低水平。
The survey also indicated that inflation expectations have slightly eased, implying that the drop in consumer sentiment is beginning to impact demand and exert downward pressure on prices.
該調查還表明，通脹預期略有緩和，意味着消費者情緒的下降開始影響需求並對價格施加下行壓力。
University Of Michigan July Consumer Sentiment Report: Key Highlights
密歇根大學7月消費者信心報告：重點亮點
- The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell from 68.2 in June to 66, missing economist estimates – as tracked by TradingEconomics – of 68.
- The sub-index for consumer expectations eased from 69.6 to 67.2, below the expected 69.8.
- The sub-index for current conditions fell from 65.9 to 64.1, below the predicted 66.3.
- The year-ahead inflation expectations decreased from 3% to 2.9%, as expected. Long-term inflation expectations edged lower from 3% to 2.9%, below the expected 3%.
- 密歇根大學消費者信心指數從6月的68.2下降到66，未能達到TradingEconomics跟蹤的68的經濟學家估計。
- 消費者預期的子指數從69.6降至67.2，低於預期的69.8。
- 當前狀況的子指數從65.9下降到64.1，低於預測的66.3。
- 未來一年的通脹預期從3％下降到2.9％，符合預期。長期通脹預期從3％降至2.9％，低於預期的3%。
Economist Takeaways
經濟學家的看法。
"Although sentiment is more than 30% above the trough from June 2022, it remains stubbornly subdued. Nearly half of consumers still object to the impact of high prices, even as they expect inflation to continue moderating in the years ahead," said the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu.
“儘管情緒比2022年6月的低點高出30％以上，但它仍然頑強地保持在低迷狀態。儘管消費者期待通脹在未來幾年中繼續緩解，但仍有近一半的消費者反對高物價可能產生的影響。”化消費者調查的董事喬安娜·徐表示。
Consumers sense significant uncertainty regarding the economy's direction, although there is little evidence to suggest the first presidential debate influenced their economic perspectives, she said.
儘管沒有證據表明第一次總統辯論影響了他們的經濟觀點，但消費者感覺到經濟前景存在重大不確定性。
Market Reactions
市場反應
Wall Street hovered in the green Friday, with all major indices showing gains by 10:10 a.m. in New York.
華爾街週五上漲，所有主要指數截至紐約時間上午10:10均呈現漲勢。
The S&P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) was 0.6% higher, while small caps, monitored through the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM), outperformed larger caps, up 1.5%.
標普500指數，由SPDR標普500 ETF信託（NYSE: SPY）跟蹤，漲0.6％，而通過iShares Russell 2000 ETF（NYSE: IWM）監視的小盤股表現優於大盤股，上漲1.5％。
Sector-wise, tech rebounded after Thursday's sell off, with the Technology Select Sector SDPR Fund (NYSE:XLE) up almost 1%.
在板塊方面，科技股在週四的拋售後反彈，科技選擇性行業SDPR基金（NYSE:XLE）上漲近1％。
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圖片來自Shutterstock。