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Is Tianneng Battery Group (SHSE:688819) A Risky Investment?

Is Tianneng Battery Group (SHSE:688819) A Risky Investment?

天能電池集團(SHSE:688819)是否是一項風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/12 21:29

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tianneng Battery Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688819) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

如David Iben所說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關注的是避免永久損失的資本。” 當你考慮企業的風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是非常自然的,因爲往往公司債務會導致企業崩潰。但值得注意的是,天能電池集團股份有限公司(SHSE:688819)確實持有債務,但這個債務是否令股東擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以協助業務發展,直到公司在償還債務時出現困難,無論是通過新的資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,公司無法償還債權人,可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是公司需以低價發行新股權,從而永久性地稀釋股東的利益。當然,對於資本密集型行業而言,債務可以是一種重要的工具。當我們思考公司使用債務的情況時,我們首先會查看現金和債務的情況。

What Is Tianneng Battery Group's Debt?

天能電池集團的債務情況如何?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Tianneng Battery Group had CN¥9.76b of debt, up from CN¥7.54b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥18.4b in cash, so it actually has CN¥8.67b net cash.

如下圖所示,2024年3月底,天能電池集團的債務爲976億元人民幣,比去年的754億元人民幣增加了221億元人民幣。點擊圖片了解更多詳細信息。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有184億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有867億元人民幣的淨現金。

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SHSE:688819 Debt to Equity History July 13th 2024
SHSE:688819資產負債歷史記錄(2024年7月13日)

How Strong Is Tianneng Battery Group's Balance Sheet?

天能電池集團的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tianneng Battery Group had liabilities of CN¥23.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.08b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥18.4b and CN¥3.68b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.95b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

從最近的資產負債表可以看出,天能電池集團有230億元人民幣的到期負債和408億元人民幣的超期負債。而另一方面,它持有184億元人民幣和36.8億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款總和多495億元人民幣。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tianneng Battery Group has a market capitalization of CN¥22.8b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Tianneng Battery Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

儘管這看起來很多,但並不那麼糟糕,因爲天能電池集團的市值爲228億元人民幣,因此如果需要,它可能會通過增加資本來加強其資產負債表。不過,仍值得密切關注其償還債務的能力。儘管其負債顯著,但天能電池集團有淨現金,因此可以說其負債負擔並不重!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Tianneng Battery Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 34% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tianneng Battery Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理層無法防止上年度EBIt下降34%的情況再次發生,那麼天能電池集團的債務負載的適度性就可能變得至關重要了。在償還債務方面,收益下降與含糖汽水對健康沒有任何幫助一樣。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始明顯的地方。但是未來的盈利,尤其是未來的盈利將決定天能電池集團維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,可以查看分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Tianneng Battery Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Tianneng Battery Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 85% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後需要指出,企業只能通過冷酷的現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。天能電池集團的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業將其利潤(利息和稅前利潤)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,是很有趣的,因爲這將影響到其債務管理的需求和能力。在過去三年中,天能電池集團產生了非常紮實的自由現金流,相當於其利息和稅前利潤的85%以上,這比我們預期的還要多。這使其在償還債務方面處於非常強勁的位置。

Summing Up

總之

Although Tianneng Battery Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥8.67b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.0b, being 85% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Tianneng Battery Group's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Tianneng Battery Group you should be aware of.

雖然天能電池集團的資產負債表並不特別強,因爲其總負債,但淨現金爲86.7億人民幣,這是顯然的正面信號。而且,它以10億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,相當於其息稅前利潤的85%。所以,我們對天能電池集團的債務使用沒有任何問題。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到債務的大部分內容。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——相反,事實並非如此。例如:我們已經發現兩個警示信號提示您要注意天能電池集團。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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