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New China Life Insurance's (SHSE:601336) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 33% Loss

New China Life Insurance's (SHSE:601336) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 33% Loss

新華保險(SHSE:601336)過去五年的盈利情況受到影響,導致股東損失33%。
Simply Wall St ·  07/13 20:55

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) share price has gained 11% in the last three months. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 43%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

雖然並不是驚人的漲幅,但是很高興看到新華保險股份有限公司(SHSE:601336)股票價格在過去三個月裏上漲了11%。但在過去的五年中,該股股價表現並不理想。事實上,該股票價格下跌了43%,遠遠低於您通過購買指數基金可以獲得的資本回報。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥3.4b to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,該公司在過去的7天內增加了34億人民幣的市值,因此讓我們看看是什麼推動了股東的五年虧損。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

市場有時毫無疑問是有效的,但股票價格並不總是反映基本業務表現。一種有缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格,以評估圍繞公司的情緒如何變化。

During the five years over which the share price declined, New China Life Insurance's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.9% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 11% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

在股票價格下跌的五年裏,新華保險股份有限公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降4.9%。每股收益的下降低於股票價格的每年11%下降。因此,似乎市場在過去對該公司過於自信。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。

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SHSE:601336 Earnings Per Share Growth July 14th 2024
SHSE:601336每股收益創業板增長,2024年7月14日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,此處提供。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for New China Life Insurance the TSR over the last 5 years was -33%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票價格回報之間的差異。股票價格回報僅反映股票價格的變化,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設已重新投資)以及任何折價的資本籌集或分拆的利益。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息的公司,TSR通常比股票價格回報高得多。我們注意到,對於新華保險,過去5年的TSR爲-33%,這比上述股票價格回報要好。這主要是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, New China Life Insurance shareholders did even worse, losing 21% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for New China Life Insurance you should know about.

儘管整個市場在十二個月內損失約17%,但是新華保險股東的損失更嚴重,損失了21%(即使包括股息)。話雖如此,在下降的市場中一些股票過度賣出是不可避免的。關鍵是關注基本面的發展。遺憾的是,去年的表現標誌着一個糟糕的走勢,股東面臨着每年總損失6%。總的來說,長期股價弱勢可能是不好的跡象,儘管持反對意見的投資者可能希望研究該股的轉機。雖然考慮市場條件可能對股票價格產生的不同影響非常值得,但還有其他更重要的因素。考慮風險,例如。每個公司都有風險,我們已經發現了2個新華保險的警示標誌,您應該了解。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關注內容?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋? 對內容感到擔憂? 請直接與我們聯繫。 或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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