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Recent 3.5% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Shareholders, They're Still up 63% Over 3 Years

Recent 3.5% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Guangshen Railway (HKG:525) Shareholders, They're Still up 63% Over 3 Years

近期3.5%的回撤不足以損害長揸廣深鐵路(HKG:525)的股東們,他們仍然在3年內獲得了63%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  07/14 20:55

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the Guangshen Railway Company Limited (HKG:525) share price is up 57% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 25% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 8.5%, including dividends.

購買指數基金,可輕鬆跟蹤市場回報。但是,如果您能運用技巧選擇個股,可以獲得更高的回報。例如,廣深鐵路股份有限公司(HKG:525)股價過去三年上漲57%,明顯優於市場下跌25%(不包括分紅派息)。但回報最近並不那麼出色,包括分紅派息在內的股東回報僅增長了8.5%。

Although Guangshen Railway has shed HK$567m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管廣深鐵路本週市值減少了5,6700萬港元,但讓我們看看其更長期的基本趨勢以及它是否推動了回報。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管市場是一個強大的定價機制,股價不僅反映了基本業務表現,還反映了投資者的情緒。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,並隨時間推移這樣做,我們可以了解股東對公司的態度如何隨時間變化。

During three years of share price growth, Guangshen Railway moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd expect the share price to be up.

在股價上漲的三年中,廣深鐵路從虧損轉爲盈利。這通常被認爲是一件好事,所以我們預計股價會上漲。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了EPS隨時間的變化情況(如果您單擊該圖像,則可以查看更多詳細信息)。

big
SEHK:525 Earnings Per Share Growth July 15th 2024
2024年7月15日SEHK:525每股收益增長。

It is of course excellent to see how Guangshen Railway has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

看投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映了股價變化,TSR包括股息價值(假設已再投資)和任何折價資本籌集或剝離的收益。可以說,TSR給出了股票帶來的更全面的回報圖片。恰好,廣深鐵路過去3年的TSR爲63%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提高了總股東回報。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Guangshen Railway's TSR for the last 3 years was 63%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

看投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映了股價變化,TSR包括股息價值(假設已再投資)和任何折價資本籌集或剝離的收益。可以說,TSR給出了股票帶來的更全面的回報圖片。恰好,廣深鐵路過去3年的TSR爲63%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提高了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

It's nice to see that Guangshen Railway shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 8.5% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 1.2% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Guangshen Railway that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高興看到廣深鐵路股東在過去一年中獲得了8.5%的總股東回報。這也包括分紅派息。值得注意的是,近五年的年平均TSR虧損1.2%,與最近的股價表現相比非常不利。這使我們有點擔心,但該業務可能已扭轉它的命運。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響很值得,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,在此處進行投資之前,我們已發現關於廣深鐵路1個警示信號,您應該知道。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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