Odds Of Trump Presidency Raised To All-Time High By Crypto Bettors After Assassination Bid
Odds Of Trump Presidency Raised To All-Time High By Crypto Bettors After Assassination Bid
The odds of Donald Trump winning the 2024 presidential elections soared to an all-time high on a cryptocurrency-based prediction market after the ex-President survived an assassination attempt during an election rally.
特朗普概念在基於數字貨幣的預測市場上，贏得2024年總統選舉的幾率創下歷史新高，此前這位前總統曾在一次競選集會上倖免於一次暗殺。
What Happened: The so-called world's largest prediction market, Polymarket, saw the chances of Trump securing another term bump to 70% Sunday.
發生了什麼事：號稱世界上最大的預測市場Polymarket週日看到特朗普再次獲得連任的機會增加到了70％。
The election odds were around 40% at the start of the year and gradually rose to 53% in February, before going downhill in subsequent months.
年初的選舉賠率大約爲40％，在2月逐漸上升到53％，然後在隨後的幾個月下滑。
However, bettors began to rally for him as the presidential hopeful dramatically amped up his pro-cryptocurrency since mid-July.
然而，自7月中旬以來，賭徒們開始爲他的總統競選活動集結起來，因爲他顯著增加了對加密貨幣的支持。
The odds of incumbent Joe Biden returning to office are at 18% at the time of writing.
現任總統喬·拜登連任的賠率在撰寫本文時爲18％。
SEC Ends Investigation Into Paxos, Marking Win For Crypto Industry
證監會結束了對Paxos的調查，標誌着加密貨幣行業的勝利。
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that allows users to bet on major global events using cryptocurrencies. Users can buy or sell outcome shares, which can be redeemed for $1 if the outcome is correct, and become worthless if it's incorrect.
Polymarket是一個去中心化的預測市場，允許用戶使用加密貨幣下注全球重大事件。用戶可以買入或賣出結果股份，如果結果正確可以兌換1美元，否則將變得毫無價值。
Why It Matters: Trump escaped an attempt at his life at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday when a bullet hit his right ear.
爲什麼重要：特朗普週六在賓夕法尼亞州的一個競選集會上逃過一劫，子彈打中了他的右耳。
Leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) rallied strongly on this development, with analysts interpreting this as the market's "bullish bias" toward pro-Trump news.
比特幣（加密貨幣：BTC）和以太坊（加密貨幣：ETH）等主要加密貨幣在此消息下大漲，分析師們將其解釋爲市場對支持特朗普的“看好偏向”。
The Republican contender has gained popularity among aficionados due to his newfound interest in cryptocurrencies, even positioning himself as the "crypto president."
這位共和黨的候選人因對加密貨幣的新發現興趣而受到愛好者的青睞，甚至將自己定位爲“加密貨幣總統”。
Price Action: At the time of writing, the Trump-inspired Maga Coin (CRYPTO: TRUMP) was exchanging hands at $7.67, surging 48% over the week, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
價格行動：撰寫本文時，受特朗普啓發的Maga Coin（加密貨幣：TRUMP）正在Benzinga Pro的數據中以7.67美元交易，上漲了48％。
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Image created via photos on Shutterstock
圖片基於Shutterstock上的照片製作。